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Wallet 0x9a3f…914a

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$2,899,457 staked over 2,550 qualified picks in 54 categories, 32 of 54 below 50.

73

Best category

Parlays

$23,234 staked over 57 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.21 per pick.

See the full Parlays board
59

Second best

Tweets

$7,146 staked over 36 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full Tweets board
57

Third best

Premier League

$9,548 staked over 22 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Premier League board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Parlays picks that settled in the last 1 year, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category54 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Parlays Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT$23,234—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price5766.7%38 W · 19 L+17.0+0.3037c+132%73
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 11, 2026, EDTChina Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac AND Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic AND China Open, Qualification: Rigele Te vs James Duckworth3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)19c$125-100%-$125
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)4c$60-100%-$59.54
Oct 3, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)38c$10-100%-$10
Oct 3, 2026, EDTUFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND Will Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC end in a draw?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)51c$395-100%-$395.09
Oct 3, 2026, EDTUFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND O/U 2.5 Rounds AND Will Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC end in a draw?3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)42c$20-100%-$20
Oct 1, 2026, EDTLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner AND Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)33c$100+205.8%+$205.8
Oct 1, 2026, EDTLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner AND BK Häcken FF vs. Juventus FC: O/U 8.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)25c$1,795+292.4%+$5,247.14
Oct 1, 2026, EDTLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner AND Eagles vs. Bears2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)25c$423+305.8%+$1,291.96
Sep 24, 2026, EDTSher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas AND Sher-E-Punjab T20: Amritsar Soormas vs Jalandhar Warriors2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)35c$1,000-100%-$1,000
Sep 17, 2026, EDTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-06? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?6 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)2c$20-100%-$19.53
Sep 15, 2026, EDTSan Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$100-100%-$100
Sep 15, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)45c$876-100%-$875.52
Sep 14, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals AND San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)39c$10-100%-$10
Sep 14, 2026, EDTSeattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox AND US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti AND US Open ATP: Quentin Halys vs Facundo Acosta AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)14c$110-100%-$110
Sep 13, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs AND Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)70c$8,000+42.7%+$3,418.74
Sep 13, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs AND Will New Caledonia U20 win on 2026-09-10?2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)74c$100+35.5%+$35.46
Sep 13, 2026, EDTGolden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)16c$20-100%-$20
Sep 13, 2026, EDTFK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: O/U 1.5 AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)52c$98-100%-$97.57
Sep 4, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova AND US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)50c$10+98.5%+$9.85
Sep 3, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia Putintseva AND Popyrin vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 36.5 AND US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jesper de Jong3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)31c$870+220%+$1,912.99
Sep 3, 2026, EDTNEOM SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 AND Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 AND Palermo FC vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 2.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)32c$39+214.7%+$83.43
Sep 3, 2026, EDTPalermo FC vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 3.5 AND NEOM SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 AND Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)23c$21+344%+$72.73
Sep 2, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko AND US Open WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)49c$519+102.1%+$530.08
Sep 2, 2026, EDTBaltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies AND Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)45c$20+122.9%+$24.25
Sep 2, 2026, EDTChicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Athletics vs. Texas Rangers2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)41c$39+142.9%+$55.32
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Dana White's Contender Series: Patrick Rivera vs. Adam Darby (Welterweight, Main Card)3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)35c$24+186.1%+$45.04
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Dana White's Contender Series: Patrick Rivera vs. Adam Darby (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)35c$677+185.9%+$1,258.98
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)44c$97+127.8%+$124.21
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)46c$200+117.2%+$234.44
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)23c$1,686+333.6%+$5,626.6
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)59c$180+70.5%+$126.84
Aug 31, 2026, EDTSeattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)22c$36+344.9%+$123.51
Aug 31, 2026, EDTZhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND Zhangjiagang: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Joshua Charlton AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winner4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)39c$500+155.9%+$779.53
Aug 31, 2026, EDTGames Total: O/U 3.5 AND Zhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winner AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)60c$99+66.9%+$66.21
Aug 31, 2026, EDTGames Total: O/U 3.5 AND Zhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)60c$295+67%+$197.53
Aug 31, 2026, EDTZhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)58c$245+71.5%+$174.96
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner AND Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)62c$200+61.1%+$122.14
Aug 30, 2026, EDTAl Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)54c$98+83.7%+$81.74
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner AND Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)43c$29+135.2%+$38.94
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)53c$300+87.4%+$262.12
Aug 26, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Bella Mir vs. Alex Apodaca (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)3c$90-100%-$90
Aug 26, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Bella Mir vs. Alex Apodaca (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)4c$75-100%-$75
Aug 26, 2026, EDTITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Yidi Yang vs Peangtarn Plipuech AND Greece F17, Singles: Linang Xiao vs M Rifqi Fitriadi AND ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Momoko Kobori vs Maria Kalyakina3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)67c$1,100+49.4%+$543.08
Aug 25, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)32c$1,200-100%-$1,200
Aug 24, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)54c$50-100%-$50
Aug 20, 2026, EDTFC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: FC Inter Turku O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)44c$206-100%-$205.7
Aug 20, 2026, EDTFC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: FC Inter Turku O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$209-100%-$208.81
Aug 18, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)32c$120+211.9%+$254.26
Aug 18, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)38c$295+162.1%+$478.17
Aug 18, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)8c$40+1,090.6%+$436.24
Aug 15, 2026, EDTCowboys vs. Seahawks AND Eagles vs. Ravens AND Seahawks vs. Cowboys3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)21c$25+371.4%+$92.86
Aug 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Joe Kropschot vs. Jon Kunneman (Middleweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)4c$40+2,437.5%+$974.99
Aug 6, 2026, EDTAngers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 4.5 AND Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-01?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)33c$50+199%+$99.48
Aug 6, 2026, EDTAngers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 3.5 AND Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-01?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)39c$150+155.2%+$232.78
Aug 6, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Honvéd (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season AND Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-08-05?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)52c$85+92.1%+$78.26
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill CF Villarreal C win on 2026-08-05? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-05?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)31c$41+222.5%+$92.02
Aug 5, 2026, EDTAston Villa vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5 AND BG Pathum United vs. Aston Villa: O/U 1.5 AND Will CF Villarreal C win on 2026-08-05? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-05?6 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)32c$16+212.9%+$33.04
All 57 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$7,146—no start of play13 h 46resells, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled+0.16119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3647.2%17 W · 19 L+4.8+0.1334c+48.8%59
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$599+150.6%+$901.39
Sep 7, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$200+25%+$50
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$207+141%+$292.5
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$195+28.2%+$55
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$188+33.3%+$62.5
Jun 10, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$105+138.1%+$145
Jun 3, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$279-100%-$279.36
Jun 1, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$743+34.7%+$257.5
Dec 19, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$305+391.8%+$1,195
Dec 19, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$45-100%-$44.53
Dec 19, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$22+123.4%+$27.16
Dec 16, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$58-100%-$58
Dec 12, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)15c$44+588.4%+$256.41
Dec 12, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$46-100%-$45.6
Dec 9, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$35-100%-$34.84
Dec 9, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$147-100%-$147.32
Dec 5, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$234-100%-$234
Dec 5, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$1,008-100%-$1,007.9
Dec 5, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$17-100%-$17
Dec 2, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$16-100%-$16.32
Dec 2, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$138+189.9%+$262
Nov 28, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$16-100%-$16
Nov 28, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$110-100%-$110.22
Nov 28, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$371+95.6%+$354.45
Nov 26, 2025, ESTWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$19-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$9,548before 14%in play 86%, over 22 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 after the start2 h 20resells, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled+0.16119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9+0.1364c+24.4%57
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTNewcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$2,221+46.3%+$1,028.8
Sep 19, 2026, EDTWill Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$491+105.6%+$518.7
May 3, 2026, EDTWill Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$800+25%+$200
Jan 18, 2026, ESTWill Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$1,340+49.3%+$660
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$899-100%-$899
Jan 5, 2026, ESTWill Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$300+66.7%+$200
Jan 1, 2026, ESTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$108-100%-$108
Jan 1, 2026, ESTWill Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$78+156.4%+$122
Jan 1, 2026, ESTWill Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$655+52.7%+$345
Dec 30, 2025, ESTWill West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$300+33.3%+$100
Dec 30, 2025, ESTWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$126+58.7%+$74
Dec 23, 2025, ESTWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$314-100%-$314.21
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$410+46.3%+$190
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$148+35.1%+$52
Dec 20, 2025, ESTTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$54+85.5%+$46.1
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Derby County FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$148+35.1%+$52
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$158+26.6%+$42
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$100+100%+$100
Dec 8, 2025, ESTWill Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$46-100%-$45.59
Dec 3, 2025, ESTWill Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$12-100%-$12
Dec 2, 2025, ESTBournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$82+28%+$23
Nov 7, 2025, ESTWill Watford FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$758+85.2%+$646
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT$411—too few: 2 picks2 h 22to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.81100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6+0.8020c+411.5%57
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 13, 2026, EDTKF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KF Egnatia RrogozhinëWon (open this pick on its own page)19c$146+426.3%+$621.27
Aug 13, 2026, EDTWill Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$265+396.7%+$1,050.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politicslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT$41,727—no start of play22 h 58resells, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 52 of them sold before the market settled+0.09112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 29 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5942.4%25 W · 34 L+4.6+0.0835c+14.4%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$1,006+29.8%+$299.59
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$919+28.4%+$261.18
Sep 29, 2026, EDTTrump renames AI by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$5,819+86.5%+$5,031.74
Sep 29, 2026, EDTTrump renames AI by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$3,421+30.1%+$1,031.11
Jul 14, 2026, EDTTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$252-100%-$252.1
Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$2,291+70.4%+$1,612.88
Jun 23, 2026, EDTCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$17-100%-$16.72
Jun 1, 2026, EDTEpstein suicide note released by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$3,569-100%-$3,569.22
May 22, 2026, EDTMajor US official out by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$2,435+27.9%+$680.22
May 14, 2026, EDTEpstein suicide note released by May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$7,355-100%-$7,354.83
May 13, 2026, EDTWill Trump visit China by May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$360-100%-$360.01
Apr 21, 2026, EDTSheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$17+66.7%+$11.5
Apr 18, 2026, EDTFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$22-100%-$21.75
Mar 2, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$481-100%-$480.65
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$11-100%-$11.1
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$221-100%-$221.4
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$35-100%-$34.96
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$797-100%-$796.67
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$37-100%-$37.4
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$73-100%-$72.98
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$119-100%-$119.24
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$169-100%-$169.04
Feb 18, 2026, ESTWill Mamdani say "Rent" or "Landlord" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$34+194.1%+$66
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$200-100%-$200
Feb 3, 2026, ESTTrump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$118-100%-$117.75
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$1,683—too few: 1 pick5 h 24to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled+0.1286% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2+0.1449c+3.2%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSebastian Fundora vs. Ermal Hadribeajon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ermal HadribeajLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$49-100%-$48.9
Jul 25, 2026, EDTLa Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IlloJuanLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$129-100%-$129
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$26-100%-$25.5
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$234+28.2%+$66
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$141+112.8%+$159
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$249-100%-$248.68
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$32+138.1%+$44.86
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$29-100%-$29
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$36-100%-$36
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$76+31.6%+$24
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Jake Paul walk out to Till I Die by Machine Gun Kelly?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$30+66.7%+$20
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Go the Distance?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$71+40.6%+$28.75
Dec 20, 2025, ESTPaul vs Joshua: Round 1 KO/TKO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$59+35.1%+$20.9
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$273+83.2%+$227
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$130+53.8%+$70
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$119+61.3%+$73.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast settled Jan 11, 2026, EST$2,643—too few: 4 picks2 h 22resells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled+0.43115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5+0.3763c+71.7%56
Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$49,238—no start of play21 h 53to the end, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled+0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 54% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 21 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.1+0.0541c-26.2%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$976+44.5%+$433.99
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$198-100%-$198.31
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$187-100%-$187.5
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$289-100%-$289.2
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$66-100%-$65.81
Sep 29, 2026, EDTWill Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$120-100%-$120.37
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$4,849+139.4%+$6,758.96
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$78-100%-$77.55
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$19-100%-$18.91
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$2,380+47.1%+$1,120
Sep 19, 2026, EDTMoscow air traffic suspended by September 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$1,512-100%-$1,511.85
Sep 19, 2026, EDTNATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$103+49.3%+$50.57
Sep 9, 2026, EDTWill Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$633+46.7%+$295.72
Sep 1, 2026, EDTNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$901-100%-$901.07
Aug 27, 2026, EDTWill Russia target Kyiv on August 21, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$87+72.4%+$63
Aug 19, 2026, EDTWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$1,470+36.1%+$530
Aug 19, 2026, EDTWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$66+49.3%+$32.42
Aug 19, 2026, EDTWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$2,227+34.7%+$772.49
Aug 15, 2026, EDTWill Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$1,635-100%-$1,634.73
Aug 1, 2026, EDTWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$7,028-100%-$7,027.81
Jul 25, 2026, EDTMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$31-100%-$31
Jul 24, 2026, EDTWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$3,060+63.4%+$1,939.98
Jul 24, 2026, EDTWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$1,240+61.3%+$759.99
Jul 16, 2026, EDTWill Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$20-100%-$19.94
Jul 16, 2026, EDTMoscow air traffic suspended by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$3,435+34.9%+$1,198.18
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$421,004before 13%in play 87%, over 413 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start2 h 22resells, median over 582 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 307 of them sold before the market settled+0.0393% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 413 of 447 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)44740.7%182 W · 265 L+14.2+0.0338c-4.1%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTPacers vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PacersWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$2,167+28.1%+$608.21
Oct 21, 2026, EDTNBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$206-100%-$206.49
Oct 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-11.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$485+39.1%+$189.58
Oct 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Thunder (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpursLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$79-100%-$78.75
Oct 21, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpursLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$100-100%-$100
Oct 20, 2026, EDT76ers vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76ersWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$16,470+89.7%+$14,779.96
Oct 17, 2026, EDTJazz vs. Sunson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JazzWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$4,519+121.3%+$5,480.99
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWizards vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WizardsLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$2,044-100%-$2,043.7
Oct 16, 2026, EDTRaptors vs. Pistonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaptorsLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$2,661-100%-$2,660.87
Oct 15, 2026, EDTThunder vs. Rocketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ThunderLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$849-100%-$849.28
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSpread: Clippers (-11.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ClippersWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$29+71.6%+$20.45
Oct 15, 2026, EDTNuggets vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NuggetsLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$5,475-100%-$5,474.98
Oct 14, 2026, EDTPistons vs. Timberwolveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$1,878-100%-$1,877.89
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCavaliers vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MagicWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$1,835+36.2%+$664.98
Oct 12, 2026, EDTTimberwolves vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TimberwolvesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$1,180+69.5%+$820
Oct 12, 2026, EDTBulls vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BullsLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$913-100%-$912.78
Oct 9, 2026, EDTGrizzlies vs. Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GrizzliesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$734+51.5%+$378.23
Oct 7, 2026, EDTMagic vs. Grizzlieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MagicWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$550+81.8%+$450
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWarriors vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ClippersWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$5,471+42.8%+$2,344.38
Jul 27, 2026, EDTWill LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$1,361+243.1%+$3,308.13
Jul 27, 2026, EDTWill LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$4,229+53.7%+$2,270.78
Jul 27, 2026, EDTWill LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$1,880-100%-$1,880.31
Jul 27, 2026, EDTNBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$1,167-100%-$1,166.63
Jul 26, 2026, EDTWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$12-100%-$12
Jul 26, 2026, EDTWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$4,003+87.3%+$3,496.76
Showing 25 of 447 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT$216,408—no start of play1 dto the end, median over 364 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 169 of them sold before the market settled+0.02109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 117 of 179 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)17939.7%71 W · 108 L+4.1+0.0237c-15%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 16, 2026, EDTPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$552-100%-$552.39
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$1,579+30.1%+$475.41
Oct 7, 2026, EDTWill Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$322+92.7%+$298.21
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$191-100%-$190.99
Oct 1, 2026, EDTNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$996+50.5%+$503.58
Oct 1, 2026, EDTMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$151-100%-$150.59
Sep 30, 2026, EDTUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$416-100%-$415.57
Sep 30, 2026, EDTIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$4,802-100%-$4,801.55
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$489+80.6%+$393.77
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$1,396+28.9%+$404
Sep 22, 2026, EDTWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$1,254-100%-$1,253.76
Sep 22, 2026, EDTWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$424-100%-$423.77
Sep 22, 2026, EDTIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$29-100%-$29.03
Sep 21, 2026, EDTUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$248-100%-$248.09
Sep 20, 2026, EDTIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$8,484+116.3%+$9,867.18
Sep 17, 2026, EDTUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$2,031+170.8%+$3,469.26
Sep 16, 2026, EDTIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$76-100%-$75.6
Sep 15, 2026, EDTWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$3,875+27.5%+$1,067.05
Sep 14, 2026, EDTIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$162+162.9%+$264.15
Sep 10, 2026, EDTIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$139+59.5%+$82.62
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$1,020-100%-$1,020.33
Sep 1, 2026, EDTIran full airspace closure by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$1,706-100%-$1,705.95
Sep 1, 2026, EDTForeign intervention in Gaza by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$1,957-100%-$1,957
Sep 1, 2026, EDTMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$898-100%-$898.14
Sep 1, 2026, EDTIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$1,073-100%-$1,072.53
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT$236,733before 33%in play 67%, over 177 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start2 h 17to the end, median over 429 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 82 of them sold before the market settled+0.04184% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 184% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 190 of 227 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)22748.9%111 W · 116 L+4.7+0.0247c-11.5%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Benin: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$132-100%-$131.98
Oct 6, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Benin: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$976+54.4%+$530.49
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$198-100%-$198.4
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Argentina win on 2026-10-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$671-100%-$670.54
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$1,102-100%-$1,101.6
Oct 4, 2026, EDTExact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Burkina Faso?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$93-100%-$92.88
Oct 4, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Burkina Faso: Burkina Faso O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$330-100%-$329.6
Jul 25, 2026, EDTWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)29c$3,055+239.8%+$7,326.52
Jul 25, 2026, EDTWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$1,984+29.8%+$592.01
Jul 21, 2026, EDTWill the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$12+72.4%+$8.4
Jul 20, 2026, EDTWill LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$1,043-100%-$1,043
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$701+25%+$175.18
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$1,860+36.6%+$680
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$7,563+85.1%+$6,437.22
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$62-100%-$61.86
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$1,832-100%-$1,832.29
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$1,887+59%+$1,113.18
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill "Dai Dai" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$50+100%+$50
Jul 19, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpainWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$4,591+33.8%+$1,550.86
Jul 19, 2026, EDTExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$100-100%-$100
Jul 19, 2026, EDTExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$120-100%-$120
Jul 19, 2026, EDTExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$46-100%-$46.27
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$1,063-100%-$1,062.5
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$161-100%-$161.19
Jul 18, 2026, EDTWill 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$891-100%-$891.48
Showing 25 of 227 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast settled May 23, 2026, EDT$6,274before 0%in play 100%, over 11 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start1 h 19resells, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled+0.07119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7+0.0658c+3.5%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
May 23, 2026, EDTWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$1,590-100%-$1,590
Apr 17, 2026, EDTWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$1,750+42.9%+$750
Apr 4, 2026, EDTWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$450+122.2%+$549.96
Feb 9, 2026, ESTWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$780+28.2%+$220
Jan 12, 2026, ESTWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$690+44.9%+$310
Jan 7, 2026, ESTWill Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$451+66.3%+$299
Jan 7, 2026, ESTWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$332-100%-$332
Dec 8, 2025, ESTWill Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$51-100%-$51
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$134+49.3%+$66
Nov 28, 2025, ESTWill Como 1907 win on 2025-11-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$27-100%-$27
Nov 8, 2025, ESTWill Juventus vs. Torino end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$19+85.2%+$16
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$397,710before 5%in play 95%, over 87 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 56 after the start1 h 15to the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled+0.03139% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 139% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 83 of 91 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)9158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.1+0.0256c-6.3%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDTTampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$926-100%-$925.61
Oct 18, 2026, EDTTampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardianson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cleveland GuardiansLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$1,054-100%-$1,054.15
Oct 15, 2026, EDTMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Milwaukee BrewersWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$4,079+34.9%+$1,421.5
Oct 10, 2026, EDTKBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hanwha EaglesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$1,414-100%-$1,414.37
Oct 9, 2026, EDTKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kia TigersWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$17,188+25.1%+$4,312.07
Oct 7, 2026, EDTKBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Samsung LionsLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$41-100%-$41
Oct 7, 2026, EDTKBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Samsung LionsWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$856+60.2%+$515.71
Sep 28, 2026, EDTWill Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$7,537+28.1%+$2,114.56
Sep 27, 2026, EDTWill Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$2,910+26.2%+$762.73
Sep 24, 2026, EDTHouston Astros vs. Seattle Marinerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Houston AstrosLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$3,380-100%-$3,380
Sep 24, 2026, EDTSan Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$974-100%-$973.94
Sep 21, 2026, EDTToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Toronto Blue JaysLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$530-100%-$530
Sep 20, 2026, EDTMinnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles AngelsWon (open this pick on its own page)26c$740+278.9%+$2,063.1
Sep 18, 2026, EDTChicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chicago CubsLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$667-100%-$666.82
Sep 18, 2026, EDTMinnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Minnesota TwinsLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$1,129-100%-$1,129
Sep 15, 2026, EDTBoston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Boston Red SoxLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$1,060-100%-$1,060.32
Sep 9, 2026, EDTBrice Turang: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$10-100%-$10.05
Sep 8, 2026, EDTToronto Blue Jays vs. Athleticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Toronto Blue JaysLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$3,900-100%-$3,899.99
Sep 8, 2026, EDTCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cincinnati RedsLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$1,881-100%-$1,881.18
Sep 7, 2026, EDTSt. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)San Francisco GiantsWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$9,101+49.8%+$4,531.76
Sep 7, 2026, EDTWashington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$3,251+53.8%+$1,748.91
Aug 29, 2026, EDTBaltimore Orioles vs. Athleticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AthleticsLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$625-100%-$625.03
Aug 28, 2026, EDTArizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)San Francisco GiantsWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$1,863+39.7%+$739.42
Aug 27, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$2,200-100%-$2,200
Aug 26, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles DodgersLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$4,310-100%-$4,310
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT$40,635—no start of play13 h 59to the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 46 of them sold before the market settled0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 3% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 32 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.4+0.0243c+6.2%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 3, 2026, EDTOpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$35+34.4%+$12
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$162-100%-$162.5
Sep 30, 2026, EDTWill OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$861-100%-$861.43
Sep 30, 2026, EDTWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$85-100%-$85.4
Sep 25, 2026, EDTOpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$17-100%-$17.04
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$212+41.8%+$88.5
Sep 9, 2026, EDTWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$352-100%-$352
Sep 9, 2026, EDTWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$636-100%-$636.46
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$365-100%-$365
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$138+44.9%+$62
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$937-100%-$937.3
Sep 1, 2026, EDTNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$218+41.2%+$89.9
Sep 1, 2026, EDTNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$355+38.8%+$137.65
Sep 1, 2026, EDTNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$270-100%-$270.48
Aug 2, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$53-100%-$53.04
Aug 2, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$92-100%-$92.49
Aug 1, 2026, EDTWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$110-100%-$110.29
Jul 31, 2026, EDTWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$750-100%-$750
Jul 24, 2026, EDTWill "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$64-100%-$64.24
Jul 24, 2026, EDTWill "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$40-100%-$40.4
Jul 16, 2026, EDTWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$99+38%+$37.65
Jul 3, 2026, EDTWill Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$289+84.8%+$245.54
Jul 3, 2026, EDTTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$2,536+67.6%+$1,713.84
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$248+73.4%+$181.99
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$79+26.4%+$20.9
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT$28,815before 0%in play 100%, over 55 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 after the start46 minresells, median over 118 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 87 of them sold before the market settled0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 22% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 50 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9+0.0255c-7.8%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 4, 2026, EDTTexas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins (W)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UCLA BruinsWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$3,051+31.1%+$949
Apr 2, 2026, EDTOklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloeson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Oklahoma SoonersWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$490+82.9%+$405.96
Mar 17, 2026, EDTLiberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)George Mason PatriotsLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$300-100%-$300
Mar 15, 2026, EDTCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverineson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Utah Valley WolverinesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$584-100%-$584.5
Mar 11, 2026, EDTIdaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Idaho VandalsWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$571+31%+$177.16
Mar 4, 2026, ESTLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. James Madison Dukeson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)James Madison DukesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$144+31.2%+$44.78
Feb 27, 2026, ESTUC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN Matadorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CSUN MatadorsLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$535-100%-$535.47
Feb 27, 2026, ESTAbilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Utah Tech TrailblazersWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$493+78.2%+$385.32
Feb 26, 2026, ESTWashington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Washington State CougarsLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$1,266-100%-$1,266.31
Feb 25, 2026, ESTFresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Ramson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Colorado State RamsWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$789+38.9%+$306.82
Feb 18, 2026, ESTVirginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricaneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Miami HurricanesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$450+122.2%+$550
Feb 13, 2026, ESTUC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Riverside Highlanderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UC Santa Barbara GauchosWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$1,883+30.1%+$567
Feb 12, 2026, ESTTennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$1,557+25.8%+$401.97
Feb 8, 2026, ESTNew Mexico State Aggies vs. UTEP Minerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UTEP MinersWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$628+63.5%+$398.85
Feb 7, 2026, ESTPrairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bethune-Cookman WildcatsWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$395+26.6%+$105
Feb 6, 2026, ESTEastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tennessee State TigersWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$571+42%+$240.11
Feb 6, 2026, ESTDenver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bisonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Denver PioneersWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$284+36.9%+$105.09
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWashington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beaverson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Washington State CougarsLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$281-100%-$280.67
Jan 27, 2026, ESTToledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Akron ZipsWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$195+25%+$48.8
Jan 25, 2026, ESTFlorida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)South Florida BullsWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$309+34%+$105
Jan 25, 2026, ESTUC Irvine Anteaters vs. California-San Diego Tritonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)California-San Diego TritonsLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$146-100%-$146
Jan 21, 2026, ESTKansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloeson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kansas JayhawksWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$3,748+29.1%+$1,091.18
Jan 19, 2026, ESTPrinceton Tigers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dartmouth Big GreenWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$518+46.7%+$242
Jan 10, 2026, ESTSan Diego Toreros vs. Pacific Tigerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)San Diego TorerosLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$135-100%-$135.2
Jan 10, 2026, ESTBelmont Bruins vs. Drake Bulldogson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Belmont BruinsWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$100+33.3%+$33.41
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
CS2last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$147,201before 12%in play 88%, over 101 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start2 h 30to the end, median over 156 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 71 of them sold before the market settled+0.02155% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 155% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 105 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10559%62 W · 43 L+1.4+0.0158c-9.3%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$2,220-100%-$2,219.5
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BetBoom TeamLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$965-100%-$965.16
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ex-Keyd StarsLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$425-100%-$425.1
Oct 11, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)largadosypeladosWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$4,805+67.5%+$3,244.61
Oct 11, 2026, EDTGames Total: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$985+62.4%+$615
Sep 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)A Great ChaosLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$45-100%-$44.74
Sep 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)A Great ChaosLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$35-100%-$35
Sep 24, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs A Great Chaos (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)A Great ChaosLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$20-100%-$20
Sep 18, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MEIA NOITEWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$108+37.8%+$40.73
Sep 8, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LegacyWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$3,296+55.6%+$1,832.89
Sep 8, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs magic - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LegacyLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$9,973-100%-$9,972.61
Aug 31, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)VitalityWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$7,327+36.5%+$2,673.05
Aug 31, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: LAG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LAG GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$10-100%-$10
Aug 31, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: LAG (-2.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LAG GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$13-100%-$13.25
Aug 27, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lynn VisionLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$385-100%-$384.6
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$22-100%-$21.56
Aug 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$12,015+48.9%+$5,872.24
Aug 22, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIALost (open this pick on its own page)61c$17,187-100%-$17,186.53
Aug 16, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)magicWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$7,954+25.7%+$2,045.76
Aug 15, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIAWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$11,997+25%+$3,002.81
Aug 14, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Con Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$7,950+25.8%+$2,049.99
Aug 8, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BORRACHEIROSWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$2,547+61.4%+$1,562.78
Aug 3, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UNiTY esportsLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$236-100%-$236.5
Jul 31, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)paiNLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$190-100%-$190
Jul 30, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MOUZWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$870+72.4%+$630
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST$7,602before 0%in play 100%, over 10 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 175 h 16 after the start1 h 39resells, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled-0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4+0.0340c+22.4%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$1,032-100%-$1,032.19
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$1,849-100%-$1,849.14
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$390+28.2%+$110
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$2,359-100%-$2,359.28
Feb 20, 2026, ESTWill Brendan Mackay (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$150-100%-$149.52
Feb 20, 2026, ESTMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanadaWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$452+33.3%+$150.63
Feb 19, 2026, ESTWill Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$507+100%+$507.15
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$162-100%-$161.71
Feb 14, 2026, ESTWill William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$212-100%-$212.09
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill Ryusei Yamada (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$106-100%-$105.65
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill Ayumu Hirano (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$20-100%-$20
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill Yuto Totsuka (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$13+120.2%+$15.89
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill Scotty James (AUS) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$328+162.2%+$532.42
Feb 12, 2026, ESTWill Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)13c$21+669.2%+$143.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$19,902—too few: 6 picks1 h 07to the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3+0.0562c-0.1%51
Commoditieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$49,255—no start of play19 h 16to the end, median over 105 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled+0.02184% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 184% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7+0.0135c-18.3%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$655+159.6%+$1,045.45
Oct 7, 2026, EDTWill 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$567-100%-$567
Oct 7, 2026, EDTWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$14-100%-$13.82
Oct 6, 2026, EDT0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$360-100%-$359.56
Oct 3, 2026, EDTWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$566+68.3%+$386.4
Oct 2, 2026, EDTHouthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$227-100%-$226.69
Oct 1, 2026, EDTIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$2,543+27.8%+$706.55
Sep 29, 2026, EDTWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$33-100%-$33
Sep 29, 2026, EDTWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$249+77%+$191.4
Sep 23, 2026, EDTWill 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$22-100%-$22.22
Sep 23, 2026, EDTSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$180-100%-$179.8
Sep 15, 2026, EDTSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UpWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$809+38.5%+$311.2
Sep 15, 2026, EDTWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)15c$294+567.6%+$1,670.2
Sep 15, 2026, EDTWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$201-100%-$200.95
Sep 15, 2026, EDTWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$411-100%-$411.32
Sep 15, 2026, EDTWill 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$749-100%-$748.5
Sep 15, 2026, EDTWill 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$230-100%-$230.12
Sep 10, 2026, EDTWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$744+170.3%+$1,266.3
Aug 4, 2026, EDT0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$3,758+108.7%+$4,083.49
Aug 4, 2026, EDTStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$6,260-100%-$6,259.99
Jul 31, 2026, EDTWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$121-100%-$121.38
Jul 21, 2026, EDTStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$1,700-100%-$1,700
Jul 13, 2026, EDTIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$1,115-100%-$1,115
Jul 7, 2026, EDTWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on July 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$90-100%-$90
Jul 7, 2026, EDTWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$2,428-100%-$2,428
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT$4,657—no start of play1 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 10% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2+0.0826c-53.5%51
NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$77,596before 7%in play 93%, over 41 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 00 after the start3 h 14to the end, median over 129 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 60 of them sold before the market settled0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 37% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 54 of 72 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.5+0.0147c-3.5%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCommanders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$1,524-100%-$1,523.93
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCowboys vs. Packerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CowboysLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$3,871-100%-$3,871.13
Oct 18, 2026, EDTBills vs. Raiderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BillsWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$5,860+28%+$1,639.49
Oct 18, 2026, EDTCardinals vs. Ramson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RamsLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$1,620-100%-$1,620
Sep 22, 2026, EDTGiants vs. Rams: O/U 39.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$1,170-100%-$1,170
Sep 15, 2026, EDTBroncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$2,740-100%-$2,740
Sep 13, 2026, EDTCowboys vs. Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CowboysLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$1,990-100%-$1,989.99
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Maxx Crosby play for Baltimore Ravens next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$70+42.9%+$30
Aug 28, 2026, EDTRams vs. Chargerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RamsWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$2,575+70.9%+$1,825
Aug 27, 2026, EDT49ers vs. Raiderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)RaidersLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$490-100%-$490
Aug 22, 2026, EDTEagles vs. Patriotson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)EaglesLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$18,558-100%-$18,558.36
Aug 15, 2026, EDTEagles vs. Ravenson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)EaglesLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$4,225-100%-$4,224.84
Aug 15, 2026, EDTJaguars vs. Saintson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SaintsLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$2,491-100%-$2,490.75
Jul 16, 2026, EDTWill Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$79-100%-$79.2
Jul 16, 2026, EDTWill Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$263-100%-$262.93
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$16-100%-$16.29
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$85-100%-$84.83
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$166-100%-$165.53
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$172-100%-$172.44
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$797-100%-$797.29
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$203-100%-$202.75
Feb 12, 2026, ESTWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$1,290+397%+$5,120.29
Feb 9, 2026, ESTWill Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$95-100%-$94.95
Feb 9, 2026, ESTWill J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$33-100%-$33.47
Feb 9, 2026, ESTWill Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$104-100%-$104.37
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast settled Jun 21, 2026, EDT$2,463—too few: 1 pick1 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.0380% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1+0.0463c-9.6%50
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT$100—no start of play7 h 16resells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L0.00.000c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 1, 2026, EDTWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$100-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast settled Jul 27, 2026, EDT$7,570—no start of play23 h 40resells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)425%1 W · 3 L0.0-0.0126c-67.2%50
Space Inactivelast settled Apr 26, 2026, EDT$30—no start of play2 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.1-0.066c-100%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 26, 2026, EDTWill there be exactly 3 major space weather events this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$30-100%-$29.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$66,491before 27%in play 73%, over 56 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start3 h 17to the end, median over 108 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 50 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5952.5%31 W · 28 L-0.20.0053c-15.5%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTLoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MVK EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$2,300+117.4%+$2,700
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$4,217-100%-$4,217.33
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cloud9Lost (open this pick on its own page)49c$980-100%-$980
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cloud9Won (open this pick on its own page)65c$1,950+53.8%+$1,050
Oct 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Cloud9Lost (open this pick on its own page)63c$630-100%-$630
Oct 12, 2026, EDTLoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KaBuM! Ilha das LendasLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$264-100%-$263.73
Sep 17, 2026, EDTLoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)eSubaLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$20-100%-$20
Sep 16, 2026, EDTWill NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$3,570+83.8%+$2,992
Sep 14, 2026, EDTWill Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$1,566+60.9%+$953.94
Sep 14, 2026, EDTWill Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$923+29%+$267.83
Sep 6, 2026, EDTLoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2 EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$1,600+25%+$400
Aug 22, 2026, EDTLoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Gen.GLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$4,438-100%-$4,438.38
Aug 16, 2026, EDTLoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DN SOOPers ChallengersLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$1,565-100%-$1,565
Aug 13, 2026, EDTLoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Role Swappers (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ZeroZone GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$164+37%+$60.62
Aug 8, 2026, EDTLoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SK GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$1,010-100%-$1,009.62
Aug 7, 2026, EDTLoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FnaticLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$2,042-100%-$2,042.49
Jul 31, 2026, EDTLoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ConvictionLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$2,210-100%-$2,210
Jul 24, 2026, EDTLoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bilibili GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$4,679+33.6%+$1,571.17
Jul 15, 2026, EDTLoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karmine CorpWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$727+37.5%+$272.5
Jul 12, 2026, EDTLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hanwha Life EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$380+163.2%+$619.99
Jul 8, 2026, EDTLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)T1Lost (open this pick on its own page)79c$6,719-100%-$6,718.99
Jun 28, 2026, EDTLoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$587-100%-$586.56
Jun 6, 2026, EDTLoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$1,840+35.9%+$660
Mar 28, 2026, EDTLoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Oh My GodWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$300+66.7%+$200
Mar 17, 2026, EDTLoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LOUDLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$573-100%-$572.62
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT$22,006—no start of play1 dto the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2-0.0336c-57.3%49
Pokerlast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT$4,171—no start of play4 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.2-0.2323c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 25, 2026, EDTWill Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$4,171-100%-$4,170.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT$3,001—too few: 4 picks3 h 07resells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)450%2 W · 2 L-0.4-0.1060c-12.9%48
Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT$8,727before 0%in play 100%, over 13 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 after the start2 h 17resells, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled-0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5-0.0458c-4.7%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 16, 2026, EDTWill AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$544+35.1%+$191.05
Jul 26, 2026, EDTKFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$4,189+50.8%+$2,126.96
Jan 3, 2026, ESTWill Kilmarnock FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$270-100%-$270
Dec 30, 2025, ESTWill Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$108-100%-$108
Dec 21, 2025, ESTWill CD Tondela vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$390-100%-$390
Dec 21, 2025, ESTWill Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$1,580+26.6%+$420
Dec 8, 2025, ESTWill Beşiktaş JK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$31+222.6%+$69
Dec 8, 2025, ESTWill Alanyaspor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$42+138.1%+$58
Dec 6, 2025, ESTWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$260+26.7%+$69.5
Nov 28, 2025, ESTWill Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$18-100%-$18
Nov 24, 2025, ESTWill Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$15-100%-$15.48
Nov 21, 2025, ESTWill Aarhus GF win on 2025-11-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$59-100%-$59
Nov 7, 2025, ESTWill Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-11-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$1,220+39.3%+$480
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT$4,048before 31%in play 69%, over 16 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start5 h 51to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8-0.0441c-45.5%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 26, 2026, EDTWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$71-100%-$71.16
Jun 7, 2026, EDTWho will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)LeclercLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$53-100%-$53.4
Jun 1, 2026, EDTWill Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$16-100%-$15.55
Jun 1, 2026, EDTWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$763-100%-$762.92
Mar 28, 2026, EDTWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$134-100%-$134.41
Mar 15, 2026, EDTWho will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BortoletoLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$22-100%-$22
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$74-100%-$74
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$268+49.3%+$132
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Norris?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NorrisWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$108+25.9%+$28
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$836+32.3%+$269.88
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$1,204+44.8%+$539.76
Mar 6, 2026, ESTWill George Russell achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$20-100%-$20
Mar 6, 2026, ESTWill Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$220+41.8%+$92.12
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)11c$74-100%-$74.27
Dec 7, 2025, ESTWill Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$28+72.4%+$19.92
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$59+69.5%+$41
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$66-100%-$66
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$14-100%-$13.67
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$18-100%-$17.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT$7,800—no start of play22 h 07to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled-0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7-0.0539c-49.2%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 3, 2026, EDTWill a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$183+63.9%+$117
Jul 20, 2026, EDTChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$5,775+55.1%+$3,179.21
Jul 1, 2026, EDTJimmy Lai released by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$114-100%-$113.7
Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$404-100%-$403.69
May 25, 2026, EDTWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$188-100%-$187.5
May 23, 2026, EDTWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$180+38.9%+$70
May 23, 2026, EDTWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$132+51.5%+$68
May 22, 2026, EDTWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$632-100%-$631.75
May 15, 2026, EDTWill Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$60-100%-$60
May 15, 2026, EDTWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$15-100%-$15.2
May 14, 2026, EDTWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$96-100%-$96
Apr 24, 2026, EDTDeepSeek V4 released by April 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$22-100%-$21.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT$21,141before 0%in play 100%, over 16 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 27 after the start2 h 40to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8-0.0561c-7.5%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 19, 2026, EDTWill FC Juárez win on 2026-09-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$426-100%-$425.51
Aug 1, 2026, EDTClub Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$539-100%-$539.08
Jul 25, 2026, EDTWill CF América win on 2026-07-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$10,233-100%-$10,233.17
Jul 19, 2026, EDTWill CF América win on 2026-07-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$1,171+44.7%+$523.73
Jul 19, 2026, EDTQuerétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$3,236+41.9%+$1,357.44
Apr 13, 2026, EDTWill CA River Plate win on 2026-04-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$1,476+35.5%+$523.48
Apr 2, 2026, EDTWill CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$193+35.1%+$67.87
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$764-100%-$764.24
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Unión end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$245-100%-$245
Jan 23, 2026, ESTWill Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$1,650-100%-$1,650
Nov 28, 2025, ESTWill EC Juventude vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$350+56.3%+$196.88
Nov 28, 2025, ESTWill CD Guadalajara win on 2025-11-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$60+66.7%+$40
Nov 26, 2025, ESTWill Grêmio FBPA vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$50-100%-$50
Nov 26, 2025, ESTWill CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$50+212.5%+$106.25
Nov 20, 2025, ESTWill Santos FC win on 2025-11-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$432+38.9%+$168
Nov 19, 2025, ESTWill SE Palmeiras vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$266+48.9%+$130.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT$17,682—no start of play23 h 51to the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled-0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2-0.0443c-24%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 2, 2026, EDTWill "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$12-100%-$12
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$29-100%-$28.99
Jun 1, 2026, EDTWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$28-100%-$27.75
May 22, 2026, EDTWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$305+63.9%+$195
May 22, 2026, EDTWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$86-100%-$86
May 17, 2026, EDTWill "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$924+56.9%+$525.88
May 17, 2026, EDTWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$165-100%-$165
May 16, 2026, EDTWill France win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$67-100%-$67.22
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$2,156-100%-$2,156.16
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$195-100%-$195.3
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$112+33.3%+$37.23
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$280-100%-$279.99
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$375-100%-$375
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$152+31.6%+$47.99
May 16, 2026, EDTWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$457-100%-$457
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$719+178.2%+$1,281
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$85-100%-$85
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)25c$340+303.4%+$1,030.93
May 16, 2026, EDTWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$760+31.6%+$240
May 15, 2026, EDTWill "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$35-100%-$35
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Arisa win Sanremo 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$18+66.7%+$12.2
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Marseaux win Sing for Greece 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$13-100%-$13
Feb 6, 2026, ESTWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$1,906+59.4%+$1,132.56
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$1,603+61%+$977.09
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$1,340+228.4%+$3,060
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$29,335before 20%in play 80%, over 20 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start2 h 33to the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled-0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2055%11 W · 9 L-1.3-0.0661c-6.2%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDTValorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NRGLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$1,360-100%-$1,360.45
Aug 22, 2026, EDTValorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SentinelsLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$2,675-100%-$2,674.65
Aug 19, 2026, EDTValorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2 EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$5,478+27.8%+$1,522.33
Aug 16, 2026, EDTValorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FURIA EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)21c$636+374.4%+$2,381.03
Aug 16, 2026, EDTValorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Inson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Fire Flux EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$828+29.1%+$240.89
Aug 7, 2026, EDTValorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)100 ThievesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$6,980-100%-$6,980
Aug 3, 2026, EDTValorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)G2 EsportsWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$2,060+45.6%+$940
Jul 29, 2026, EDTValorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team VitalityWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$700+42.9%+$299.99
Jul 25, 2026, EDTValorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JD GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$139-100%-$139.1
Jul 24, 2026, EDTValorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)100 ThievesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$2,338+42.1%+$985.56
Jul 18, 2026, EDTValorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)All GamersLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$1,687-100%-$1,687.07
Jul 18, 2026, EDTValorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)All GamersLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$972-100%-$972.5
Jul 4, 2026, EDTValorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)QoRWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$765+30.7%+$235
Jun 25, 2026, EDTMap Handicap: TL.A (-1.5) vs Ghools Esports (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team Liquid AcademyWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$40+25%+$10
Jun 25, 2026, EDTValorant: Ghools Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team Liquid AcademyWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$366+36.6%+$133.88
Jun 2, 2026, EDTValorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NRG AcademyLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$705-100%-$705
Mar 9, 2026, EDTValorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Paper RexLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$374-100%-$374
Jan 28, 2026, ESTValorant: Blue Otter vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Azure Dragon GamingWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$200+50.4%+$101.02
Jan 6, 2026, ESTValorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GnG AmazighWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$661+70.6%+$466.74
Dec 18, 2025, ESTValorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Paper Rex (BO1)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Paper RexLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$369-100%-$369.38
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Dec 20, 2025, EST$2,739—too few: 4 picks2 h 09resells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled-0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)450%2 W · 2 L-0.9-0.2373c-29.5%47
NHL Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT$10,675before 10%in play 90%, over 21 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 after the start1 h 33resells, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5-0.0750c-25.3%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 30, 2026, EDTCanucks vs. Oilerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanucksWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$2,143+34.8%+$744.85
Sep 19, 2026, EDTMaple Leafs vs. Canadienson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanadiensWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$855+28.7%+$245.01
May 30, 2026, EDTWorld Championships: Canada vs. Finlandon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanadaLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$2,400-100%-$2,399.99
Apr 27, 2026, EDTOilers vs. Duckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OilersLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$1,877-100%-$1,877.09
Apr 17, 2026, EDTBlues vs. Utahon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BluesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$1,318+101.1%+$1,331.98
Jan 14, 2026, ESTFlames vs. Blue Jacketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Blue JacketsWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$318+57.3%+$182.16
Jan 12, 2026, ESTCapitals vs. Predatorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PredatorsWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$480+108.3%+$520
Jan 1, 2026, ESTUtah vs. Islanderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IslandersLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$100-100%-$100
Dec 11, 2025, ESTKings vs. Krakenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$55-100%-$55
Dec 10, 2025, ESTAvalanche vs. Predatorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AvalancheLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$177-100%-$177.25
Dec 10, 2025, ESTSabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$142-100%-$142
Nov 30, 2025, ESTCanucks vs. Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KingsWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$110+90.3%+$99.26
Nov 30, 2025, ESTSharks vs. Golden Knightson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SharksLost (open this pick on its own page)14c$14-100%-$14
Nov 24, 2025, ESTFlames vs. Canuckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanucksLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$36-100%-$36.1
Nov 16, 2025, ESTJets vs. Flameson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JetsWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$55+81.8%+$45
Nov 16, 2025, ESTSharks vs. Krakenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KrakenWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$54+85.2%+$46
Nov 15, 2025, ESTCanucks vs. Hurricaneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanucksLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$30-100%-$30
Nov 14, 2025, ESTJets vs. Krakenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)JetsLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$68-100%-$68
Nov 12, 2025, ESTDucks vs. Avalancheon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)DucksLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$62-100%-$62
Nov 10, 2025, ESTSpread: Avalanche (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CanucksWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$275+81.8%+$225
Nov 7, 2025, ESTRangers vs. Red Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Red WingsLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$106-100%-$106
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast settled Jan 12, 2026, EST$2,705before 0%in play 100%, over 10 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 after the start2 h 19to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled-0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3-0.1363c-16.4%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 12, 2026, ESTWill SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$86-100%-$86.43
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$600+66.7%+$400
Jan 3, 2026, ESTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$780+92.3%+$720
Jan 3, 2026, ESTWill UD Almería vs. Granada CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$314-100%-$314.45
Jan 2, 2026, ESTWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$80-100%-$80
Dec 21, 2025, ESTWill Granada CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$300+66.7%+$200
Dec 21, 2025, ESTWill CD Mirandés vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$127-100%-$127.43
Dec 8, 2025, ESTWill Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$148-100%-$147.99
Dec 2, 2025, ESTWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$80+25%+$20
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$189+85.2%+$161
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuelalast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT$4,156—no start of play21 h 36resells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled-0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3-0.1537c-60.9%46
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 1, 2026, EDTWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$1,482-100%-$1,481.98
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$600+85.2%+$511.55
Jan 15, 2026, ESTWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$97-100%-$97.16
Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$66-100%-$66
Jan 3, 2026, ESTNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$65-100%-$65
Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$600+66.7%+$400
Jan 1, 2026, ESTU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$1,065-100%-$1,065.14
Dec 1, 2025, ESTUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$170-100%-$169.99
Nov 15, 2025, ESTUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$10-100%-$10.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT$11,315—too few: 6 picks4 h 02to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3-0.2155c+15.8%45
Token Launcheslast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT$14,186—no start of play10 h 29to the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3-0.0837c-51.1%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDTOver $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$351-100%-$351.19
Oct 2, 2026, EDTOver $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$126+227.6%+$287.4
Jul 17, 2026, EDTOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$1,973+26.7%+$527.09
Jul 4, 2026, EDTOver $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$251-100%-$250.89
Jul 4, 2026, EDTOver $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$487-100%-$487
Jun 11, 2026, EDTWill Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$30+43.8%+$13.06
Jun 11, 2026, EDTWill Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$93+40.8%+$38.13
May 26, 2026, EDTSolstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$84-100%-$83.85
May 26, 2026, EDTSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$1,061+41.3%+$438.44
May 26, 2026, EDTSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$307-100%-$306.78
Apr 14, 2026, EDTGenius FDV above $50M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$31-100%-$30.5
Apr 14, 2026, EDTGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$61-100%-$60.79
Apr 14, 2026, EDTGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$135-100%-$135
Apr 14, 2026, EDTGenius FDV above $80M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$85-100%-$85
Apr 14, 2026, EDTGenius FDV above $20M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$17-100%-$17.5
Mar 24, 2026, EDTBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$150-100%-$150
Mar 8, 2026, ESTWill Paradex launch a token on March 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$365+33.8%+$123.32
Mar 5, 2026, ESTNo token launch by March 31on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$48-100%-$48.13
Feb 7, 2026, ESTOver $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$105-100%-$105
Jan 29, 2026, ESTMoonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$339-100%-$339.44
Jan 22, 2026, ESTETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$40-100%-$40.4
Jan 22, 2026, ESTETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$11-100%-$10.5
Jan 21, 2026, ESTElsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$102-100%-$102.5
Jan 3, 2026, ESTLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$1,334-100%-$1,334.02
Jan 2, 2026, ESTLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$438+59.8%+$262
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT$34,481before 0%in play 100%, over 13 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 after the start1 h 16to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled-0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0-0.1250c+16.3%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 8, 2026, EDTWill A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$2,955-100%-$2,955.27
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$55-100%-$55.39
Sep 28, 2026, EDTWill Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$176+25%+$44
Sep 24, 2026, EDTDallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Seattle StormLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$764-100%-$763.75
Sep 22, 2026, EDTDallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercuryon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Phoenix MercuryWon (open this pick on its own page)9c$337+1,011.1%+$3,412.49
Aug 27, 2026, EDTToronto Tempo vs. Seattle Stormon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Toronto TempoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$925-100%-$925
Aug 22, 2026, EDTIndiana Fever vs. New York Libertyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Indiana FeverLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$1,300-100%-$1,300
Aug 18, 2026, EDTNew York Liberty vs. Chicago Skyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New York LibertyLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$3,909-100%-$3,909.07
Aug 18, 2026, EDTDallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Golden State ValkyriesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$4,017+66%+$2,650
Aug 2, 2026, EDTToronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Toronto TempoLost (open this pick on its own page)18c$634-100%-$633.55
Jul 2, 2026, EDTDallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Connecticut SunLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$5,842-100%-$5,842.18
Jun 14, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercuryon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Phoenix MercuryLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$3,750-100%-$3,750
Jun 12, 2026, EDTLas Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFireon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Las Vegas AcesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$1,590+57.2%+$910
Jun 9, 2026, EDTAtlanta Dream vs. Chicago Skyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Atlanta DreamWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$1,778+40.6%+$722
Jun 6, 2026, EDTDallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Los Angeles SparksLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$1,479-100%-$1,478.99
Jun 4, 2026, EDTAtlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feveron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Indiana FeverWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$4,970+61%+$3,029.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$6,904before 50%in play 50%, over 12 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 59 after the start14 h 19to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5-0.1048c-28%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$29-100%-$29
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$157+27.4%+$43
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$130+92.7%+$120.27
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$189+32.6%+$61.5
Oct 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$50-100%-$50.31
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$736+35.8%+$263.87
Aug 19, 2026, EDTWill Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$435-100%-$435.14
Aug 7, 2026, EDTWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$772+62.5%+$482.14
Jun 25, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$121-100%-$121.09
Jun 25, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$161-100%-$160.81
Jun 24, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$960-100%-$959.97
May 15, 2026, EDTConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$1,517-100%-$1,517.1
May 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$26-100%-$26
May 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$23-100%-$23.5
May 5, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$110-100%-$109.5
May 3, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 3?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$165+51.5%+$85
Mar 27, 2026, EDTWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$615-100%-$614.67
Mar 9, 2026, EDTWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$186+35.3%+$65.82
Feb 25, 2026, ESTWill there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$55-100%-$55.43
Feb 25, 2026, ESTWill there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$19-100%-$19.36
Dec 9, 2025, ESTWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on December 9?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$21-100%-$21.04
Dec 9, 2025, ESTWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$162-100%-$162
Dec 2, 2025, ESTWill the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 2?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$158+26.6%+$42
Dec 1, 2025, ESTWill the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$22-100%-$21.66
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$28+257.1%+$72
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$79,499—no start of play2 dresells, median over 157 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 79 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)8328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.1-0.0736c-19.3%44
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$88-100%-$87.83
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$1,341-100%-$1,340.69
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)5c$147+1,925.5%+$2,825.13
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$267-100%-$267.09
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$1,782+26.3%+$468.28
Oct 16, 2026, EDTLula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$156+60.2%+$93.92
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$114-100%-$113.84
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$116-100%-$116.4
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWill Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$464-100%-$464.47
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$720-100%-$720
Oct 1, 2026, EDTUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)8c$16-100%-$16
Sep 30, 2026, EDTPolo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$307+29.9%+$92.02
Sep 27, 2026, EDTWill Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$157-100%-$157.1
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$241-100%-$241.5
Sep 24, 2026, EDTU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$305-100%-$305.12
Sep 24, 2026, EDTU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$21-100%-$21
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$48-100%-$48.15
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$27+185.7%+$50.7
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$472-100%-$471.62
Sep 17, 2026, EDTSweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SDLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$1,750-100%-$1,750
Sep 9, 2026, EDTIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$85-100%-$84.5
Sep 7, 2026, EDTWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$1,400-100%-$1,400
Sep 4, 2026, EDTU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$52-100%-$52.13
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Ahsanul Hafiz get second place in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$128-100%-$128.01
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Noor Tarun get second place in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$207-100%-$207.18
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast settled Jun 12, 2026, EDT$10,786—no start of play2 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled-0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9-0.2437c-79.8%43
Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$23,553—no start of play11 h 34to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled-0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.6-0.1235c-58.8%43
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$19-100%-$19
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$94-100%-$94
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$122+63.9%+$78
Aug 27, 2026, EDTWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$967-100%-$966.59
Aug 25, 2026, EDTWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$399-100%-$398.98
Aug 25, 2026, EDTWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$173-100%-$173.48
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$400-100%-$399.72
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$195-100%-$195.12
Aug 24, 2026, EDTWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$182-100%-$182.4
Aug 13, 2026, EDTWill Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$1,516+42.9%+$649.55
Aug 12, 2026, EDTWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$1,497+37%+$553.5
Aug 6, 2026, EDTWill Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$720-100%-$720
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)7c$1,253-100%-$1,252.68
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$1,130-100%-$1,130
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$263-100%-$262.5
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$326-100%-$325.5
Jul 28, 2026, EDTWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$500-100%-$500
Jun 24, 2026, EDTWill Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$165+203%+$334.99
Jun 24, 2026, EDTWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$429+79.9%+$343.07
Jun 23, 2026, EDTWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$275-100%-$275
Jun 16, 2026, EDTWill Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$11,212+56.1%+$6,287.61
Jun 3, 2026, EDTWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$558-100%-$557.5
Jun 3, 2026, EDTWill Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$56-100%-$56
May 20, 2026, EDTWill Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$86-100%-$86.01
May 20, 2026, EDTWill Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$98+53.4%+$52.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT$21,513before 13%in play 87%, over 31 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 01 after the start5 h 01to the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled-0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.0-0.1352c-26.7%42
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 18, 2026, EDTT20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs Malaysia - Toss Match Double Japan Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$100-100%-$100
Sep 13, 2026, EDTT20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs Malaysiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MalaysiaWon (open this pick on its own page)20c$604+402.3%+$2,430.41
Sep 10, 2026, EDTSher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jalandhar WarriorsLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$1,162-100%-$1,162.17
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill India win?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$144+25.8%+$37.06
Jun 11, 2026, EDTODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AustraliaLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$245-100%-$244.54
Jun 9, 2026, EDTODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AustraliaLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$230-100%-$229.97
Jun 2, 2026, EDTT20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussexon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SussexLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$285-100%-$285
Jun 2, 2026, EDTT20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IndiaLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$230-100%-$230
May 28, 2026, EDTT20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IndiaWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$300+66.7%+$200
May 25, 2026, EDTT20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New Zealand AWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$641+29.7%+$190.75
May 23, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lucknow Super GiantsLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$180-100%-$180
May 21, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chennai Super KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$233-100%-$232.5
May 19, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rajasthan RoyalsWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$1,912+56.9%+$1,088
May 18, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Chennai Super KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$379-100%-$379.23
May 17, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Rajasthan RoyalsLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$608-100%-$607.99
May 16, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kolkata Knight RidersWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$3,960+26.3%+$1,040
May 14, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indianson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Punjab KingsLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$300-100%-$300.02
May 13, 2026, EDTIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kolkata Knight RidersLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$1,640-100%-$1,639.65
Apr 23, 2026, EDTPakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karachi KingsWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$784+91.3%+$716
Jan 20, 2026, ESTWPL: Delhi Capitals Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Delhi Capitals WomenWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$3,790+32.5%+$1,232.99
Dec 27, 2025, ESTWill Australia win?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$2,138-100%-$2,138.36
Dec 27, 2025, ESTWill England win?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$251-100%-$251.35
Dec 11, 2025, ESTIndia T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IndiaLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$172-100%-$172.49
Dec 3, 2025, ESTIndia ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IndiaLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$204-100%-$203.99
Nov 30, 2025, ESTIndia ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IndiaWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$70+42.9%+$30
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT$3,762—too few: 9 picks4 h 14to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5-0.2850c-62.9%42
UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$96,609before 9%in play 91%, over 143 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 20 after the start55 minto the end, median over 257 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 64 of them sold before the market settled-0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 137 of 164 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)16437.8%62 W · 102 L-14.3-0.0947c-30.3%42
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Timmy CuambaWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$660+51.5%+$340
Oct 17, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tanner BoserWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$660+51.5%+$339.99
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$54+85.2%+$46
Oct 13, 2026, EDTO/U 1.5 Roundson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$445-100%-$445.48
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill the fight be won by submission?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$300-100%-$300
Oct 10, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Brendan AllenWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$1,160+29.3%+$340
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$690-100%-$690.29
Oct 3, 2026, EDTO/U 1.5 Roundson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$3,139+43.6%+$1,367.85
Oct 3, 2026, EDTFight to Go the Distance?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$90+122.2%+$110
Oct 3, 2026, EDTUFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Lucas ArmandLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$116-100%-$116
Sep 29, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Luca BorandoLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$18-100%-$18.36
Sep 26, 2026, EDTWill Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu win in Round 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)24c$2,431+311.4%+$7,569.44
Sep 20, 2026, EDTUFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alexandre PantojaLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$660-100%-$659.95
Sep 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zevan HuntLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$887-100%-$887.5
Sep 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Oscar Ravello vs. Igor Cavalcanti (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Oscar RavelloLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$336-100%-$335.92
Sep 15, 2026, EDTDana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hugo GuillonLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$488-100%-$488.45
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Salahdine ParnasseWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$790+26.6%+$210
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Axel SolaWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$440+127.3%+$560
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Michael PageWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$3,595+33.5%+$1,204.66
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Punahele SorianoLost (open this pick on its own page)16c$525-100%-$525.27
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Trevor PeekLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$230-100%-$230
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Muhammad NaimovLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$235-100%-$235
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Morgan CharrièreLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$350-100%-$350
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ryan SpannLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$275-100%-$275.19
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Oumar SyLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$390-100%-$390
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT$31,372before 13%in play 87%, over 30 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start1 h 43to the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4-0.1448c-42%41
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTKentucky vs. Oklahomaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KentuckyWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$620+61.3%+$380
Oct 10, 2026, EDTKansas vs. Utah: 3Q O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$403+103.8%+$418.08
Oct 4, 2026, EDTTexas State vs. San Diego Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Texas StateLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$1,766-100%-$1,765.89
Sep 26, 2026, EDTBucknell vs. Pittsburghon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BucknellLost (open this pick on its own page)0c$10-100%-$10
Sep 12, 2026, EDTSouth Florida vs. Army: O/U 47.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)UnderLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$200-100%-$199.99
Sep 8, 2026, EDTSMU vs. Florida Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SMUWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$15,268+26.8%+$4,091.64
Jan 20, 2026, ESTWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$301-100%-$301.49
Jan 20, 2026, ESTCollege Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$560-100%-$560.21
Jan 20, 2026, ESTMiami vs. Indianaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IndianaWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$740+35.1%+$259.98
Jan 1, 2026, ESTOregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Texas Tech Red RaidersLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$877-100%-$876.67
Dec 30, 2025, ESTTennessee vs. Illinoison Polymarket (opens in a new tab)IllinoisWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$335+49.3%+$165
Dec 28, 2025, ESTLSU vs. Houstonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HoustonWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$818+28.4%+$231.96
Dec 27, 2025, ESTConnecticut vs. Armyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArmyWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$1,778+43.4%+$771.57
Dec 27, 2025, ESTPittsburgh vs. East Carolinaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PittsburghLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$1,377-100%-$1,376.6
Dec 27, 2025, ESTFlorida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Florida InternationalLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$972-100%-$972.45
Dec 26, 2025, ESTNew Mexico vs. Minnesotaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)New MexicoLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$728-100%-$727.5
Dec 25, 2025, ESTCalifornia vs. Hawaiion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)CaliforniaLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$2,522-100%-$2,521.56
Dec 6, 2025, ESTKennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Kennesaw StateWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$254+31.2%+$79.25
Nov 30, 2025, ESTSpread: Hawaii (-10.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WyomingLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$114-100%-$114
Nov 30, 2025, ESTSpread: Hawaii (-8.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WyomingLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$100-100%-$100
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWyoming vs. Hawaiion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)WyomingLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$66-100%-$66
Nov 28, 2025, ESTIowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nebraska CornhuskersLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$45-100%-$45
Nov 26, 2025, ESTSpread: Western Michigan (-7.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Eastern MichiganLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$72-100%-$72
Nov 26, 2025, ESTWestern Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Eastern MichiganLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$38-100%-$38
Nov 26, 2025, ESTSpread: Western Michigan (-9.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Eastern MichiganLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$39-100%-$39
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast settled Feb 24, 2026, EST$8,813before 0%in play 100%, over 20 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start2 h 52resells, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled-0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2045%9 W · 11 L-3.6-0.1863c-32.2%41
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 24, 2026, ESTWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$135-100%-$135
Jan 25, 2026, ESTWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$206-100%-$206
Jan 22, 2026, ESTWill Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$632-100%-$631.74
Jan 20, 2026, ESTWill Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$2,504+34.1%+$854.7
Jan 12, 2026, ESTWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$858+41.9%+$359.53
Jan 12, 2026, ESTWill Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$377-100%-$376.62
Jan 9, 2026, ESTAl Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$307+25.3%+$77.6
Jan 8, 2026, ESTWill Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$605+41.3%+$249.79
Jan 2, 2026, ESTWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$81+85.8%+$69.25
Dec 30, 2025, ESTWill Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$370+35.1%+$130
Dec 25, 2025, ESTWill Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$380-100%-$380
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$70-100%-$70
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$38-100%-$38
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$58-100%-$58
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$59-100%-$59
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Fagiano Okayama win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$68+47.1%+$31.88
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Avispa Fukuoka win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$61-100%-$61
Nov 30, 2025, ESTWill Vissel Kōbe win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$47+112.8%+$53
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill FC Machida Zelvia vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$1,462-100%-$1,462
Nov 9, 2025, ESTWill Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$495+33%+$163.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$109,655before 12%in play 88%, over 56 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start2 h 21to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled-0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 54 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5637.5%21 W · 35 L-7.6-0.1451c-35.1%40
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 10, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Kinetix vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team KinetixLost (open this pick on its own page)2c$287-100%-$286.75
Oct 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$838-100%-$837.93
Sep 30, 2026, EDTDota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Level UPLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$722-100%-$722.49
Aug 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$845+150%+$1,267.84
Aug 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$4,796-100%-$4,796.33
Aug 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nigma GalaxyLost (open this pick on its own page)12c$1,962-100%-$1,961.69
Aug 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$7,805-100%-$7,804.6
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)5c$179-100%-$179.36
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$3,600-100%-$3,600
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$5,400+85.2%+$4,599.99
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$94-100%-$94.11
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Iron WingLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$13,897-100%-$13,897.37
Aug 20, 2026, EDTDota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$7,200+38.9%+$2,800.1
Aug 16, 2026, EDTDota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AuroraLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$1,314-100%-$1,314.24
Aug 16, 2026, EDTDota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AuroraLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$1,989-100%-$1,989.29
Aug 15, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$11,807+33.7%+$3,977.29
Aug 15, 2026, EDTDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vici GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$4,136-100%-$4,135.85
Aug 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nigma GalaxyWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$4,039+62.9%+$2,541.93
Aug 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)HULIGANILost (open this pick on its own page)69c$4,154-100%-$4,153.58
Aug 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$9,187+44.5%+$4,088.54
Aug 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team LiquidWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$1,825+37%+$675
Aug 3, 2026, EDTDota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Vici GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$2,160-100%-$2,159.99
Jul 16, 2026, EDTDota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)PARIVISIONWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$3,850+29.9%+$1,150
Jul 14, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Xtreme GamingLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$360-100%-$360
Jun 5, 2026, EDTDota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)REKONIXWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$1,135+32.2%+$365
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennislast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$398,806before 11%in play 89%, over 165 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start2 h 17to the end, median over 356 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 122 of them sold before the market settled-0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 157 of 173 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)17341.6%72 W · 101 L-18.7-0.1152c-32.9%40
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCali: Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Buenoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Gonzalo BuenoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$6,212+74.1%+$4,606.49
Oct 19, 2026, EDTNingbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Elise MertensLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$3,178-100%-$3,177.61
Oct 16, 2026, EDTJinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanukion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Shintaro MochizukiWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$19,308+109.2%+$21,081.2
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenkoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Diana ShnaiderLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$7,390-100%-$7,390
Oct 15, 2026, EDTW35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaruon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Miriam Bianca BulgaruLost (open this pick on its own page)3c$571-100%-$570.76
Oct 15, 2026, EDTRovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescuon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Antonia RuzicLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$1,301-100%-$1,300.82
Oct 12, 2026, EDTCatania: Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenkoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Oleksandr OvcharenkoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$79-100%-$79.4
Oct 12, 2026, EDTWuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ekaterina AlexandrovaLost (open this pick on its own page)22c$328-100%-$327.5
Oct 8, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworthon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)James DuckworthLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$1,050-100%-$1,050
Sep 18, 2026, EDTGuadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearnson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Peyton StearnsWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$1,366+126.8%+$1,732.97
Sep 17, 2026, EDTRennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Matisse BobichonWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$875+185.7%+$1,625
Sep 16, 2026, EDTW35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Ying Zhangon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sijia WeiWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$2,632+40.9%+$1,077.8
Sep 14, 2026, EDTPhan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Dong Ju Kimon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Dong Ju KimLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$1,490-100%-$1,489.84
Sep 11, 2026, EDTUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Sheltonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Frances TiafoeLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$1,700-100%-$1,699.99
Sep 8, 2026, EDTPhan Thiet 3: Florent Bax vs Maximus Joneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Florent BaxLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$6,058-100%-$6,057.75
Sep 7, 2026, EDTUS Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulpon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Arthur GeaLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$12,641-100%-$12,640.5
Sep 7, 2026, EDTWill Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$205-100%-$204.75
Sep 7, 2026, EDTUS Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Francisco CerundoloLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$3,840-100%-$3,840.35
Sep 7, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zhengon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Iga SwiatekLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$3,670-100%-$3,670
Sep 7, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Mirra AndreevaWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$3,240+85.2%+$2,759.99
Sep 7, 2026, EDTPhan Thiet 3: Aditya Balsekar vs Hunter Heckon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hunter HeckLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$2,252-100%-$2,251.57
Sep 5, 2026, EDTUS Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertenson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Naomi OsakaWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$660+51.5%+$340
Sep 3, 2026, EDTW15 Yeongwol: Jiyun Oh vs Soo Ha Jangon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jiyun OhLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$505-100%-$504.85
Sep 2, 2026, EDTUS Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaroon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Francesco PassaroLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$6,600-100%-$6,599.99
Sep 2, 2026, EDTWill Rafael Jodar advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)1c$10-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Movieslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT$43,940—no start of play2 dto the end, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled-0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6720.9%14 W · 53 L-8.8-0.1334c-52.5%39
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$400-100%-$400
Oct 2, 2026, EDTWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$453+32.4%+$146.82
Oct 2, 2026, EDTWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$1,530+30.7%+$469.49
Sep 28, 2026, EDTWill "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$543-100%-$542.6
Sep 22, 2026, EDTWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)18c$134+460%+$616.62
Sep 22, 2026, EDTWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$43-100%-$43.05
Sep 22, 2026, EDTWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$49-100%-$48.8
Sep 22, 2026, EDTWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$813+64.3%+$523.35
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$2,115-100%-$2,115.12
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$9,958-100%-$9,958.06
Aug 27, 2026, EDTWill the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$42-100%-$42
Aug 27, 2026, EDTWill the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)6c$19-100%-$18.75
Aug 18, 2026, EDTWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$374-100%-$374.4
Aug 17, 2026, EDTWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$54-100%-$54.4
Aug 3, 2026, EDTWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)27c$1,772+267.2%+$4,736.2
Aug 3, 2026, EDTWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$998-100%-$997.69
Jul 20, 2026, EDTWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$2,950-100%-$2,949.56
Jul 20, 2026, EDTWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$181-100%-$180.65
Jul 20, 2026, EDTWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$212-100%-$211.79
Jul 20, 2026, EDTWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$272-100%-$271.56
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$620-100%-$620
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$590-100%-$589.99
Jul 1, 2026, EDTCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$21-100%-$21.25
Jul 1, 2026, EDTNo one announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$593-100%-$593.29
Jun 8, 2026, EDTWill "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$720+108.2%+$779.69
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.