Wallet 0x9a3f…914a

https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a

Polymarket

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$2,899,457 staked over 2,550 qualified picks in 54 categories, 32 of 54 below 50.

Best category

Parlays

$23,234 staked over 57 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.21 per pick.

See the full Parlays board

Second best

Tweets

$7,146 staked over 36 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full Tweets board

Third best

Premier League

$9,548 staked over 22 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Premier League board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Parlays picks that settled in the last 90 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category54 Categories

What these columns mean

Category: The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked: The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets: Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds: How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price: What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks: Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate: How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected: Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge: Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry: The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick: The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score: The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.

Category

Staked

When it bets

Holds

At your price

Qualified picks

Win rate

vs expected

Realizable edge

Avg entry

ROI per pick

Tail Score

Parlays Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT

$23,234

—no start of play

—no market to hold

—no market price

66.7%38 W · 19 L

+17.0

+0.30

37c

+132%

Settled	Ticket	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac AND Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic AND China Open, Qualification: Rigele Te vs James Duckworth3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	19c	$125	-100%	-$125
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?4 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	4c	$60	-100%	-$59.54
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	38c	$10	-100%	-$10
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND Will Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC end in a draw?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	51c	$395	-100%	-$395.09
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND O/U 2.5 Rounds AND Will Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC end in a draw?3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$20	-100%	-$20
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner AND Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	33c	$100	+205.8%	+$205.8
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner AND BK Häcken FF vs. Juventus FC: O/U 8.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	25c	$1,795	+292.4%	+$5,247.14
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner AND Eagles vs. Bears2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	25c	$423	+305.8%	+$1,291.96
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas AND Sher-E-Punjab T20: Amritsar Soormas vs Jalandhar Warriors2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$1,000	-100%	-$1,000
Sep 17, 2026, EDT	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-06? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?6 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	2c	$20	-100%	-$19.53
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$100	-100%	-$100
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$876	-100%	-$875.52
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals AND San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	39c	$10	-100%	-$10
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox AND US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti AND US Open ATP: Quentin Halys vs Facundo Acosta AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	14c	$110	-100%	-$110
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs AND Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	70c	$8,000	+42.7%	+$3,418.74
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs AND Will New Caledonia U20 win on 2026-09-10?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	74c	$100	+35.5%	+$35.46
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	16c	$20	-100%	-$20
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: O/U 1.5 AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$98	-100%	-$97.57
Sep 4, 2026, EDT	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova AND US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	50c	$10	+98.5%	+$9.85
Sep 3, 2026, EDT	US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia Putintseva AND Popyrin vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 36.5 AND US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jesper de Jong3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	31c	$870	+220%	+$1,912.99
Sep 3, 2026, EDT	NEOM SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 AND Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 AND Palermo FC vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 2.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	32c	$39	+214.7%	+$83.43
Sep 3, 2026, EDT	Palermo FC vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 3.5 AND NEOM SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 AND Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	23c	$21	+344%	+$72.73
Sep 2, 2026, EDT	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko AND US Open WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	49c	$519	+102.1%	+$530.08
Sep 2, 2026, EDT	Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies AND Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$20	+122.9%	+$24.25
Sep 2, 2026, EDT	Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Athletics vs. Texas Rangers2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	41c	$39	+142.9%	+$55.32
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Dana White's Contender Series: Patrick Rivera vs. Adam Darby (Welterweight, Main Card)3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$24	+186.1%	+$45.04
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Dana White's Contender Series: Patrick Rivera vs. Adam Darby (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$677	+185.9%	+$1,258.98
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$97	+127.8%	+$124.21
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$200	+117.2%	+$234.44
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	23c	$1,686	+333.6%	+$5,626.6
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$180	+70.5%	+$126.84
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	22c	$36	+344.9%	+$123.51
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Zhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND Zhangjiagang: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Joshua Charlton AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winner4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	39c	$500	+155.9%	+$779.53
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Games Total: O/U 3.5 AND Zhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winner AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$99	+66.9%	+$66.21
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Games Total: O/U 3.5 AND Zhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$295	+67%	+$197.53
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Zhangjiagang: Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo AND LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs AND Zhangjiagang: Koki Matsuda vs Fanming Meng3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$245	+71.5%	+$174.96
Aug 30, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner AND Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	62c	$200	+61.1%	+$122.14
Aug 30, 2026, EDT	Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$98	+83.7%	+$81.74
Aug 30, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner AND Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$29	+135.2%	+$38.94
Aug 30, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$300	+87.4%	+$262.12
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Bella Mir vs. Alex Apodaca (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	3c	$90	-100%	-$90
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Bella Mir vs. Alex Apodaca (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	4c	$75	-100%	-$75
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Yidi Yang vs Peangtarn Plipuech AND Greece F17, Singles: Linang Xiao vs M Rifqi Fitriadi AND ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Momoko Kobori vs Maria Kalyakina3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	67c	$1,100	+49.4%	+$543.08
Aug 25, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	32c	$1,200	-100%	-$1,200
Aug 24, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$50	-100%	-$50
Aug 20, 2026, EDT	FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: FC Inter Turku O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$206	-100%	-$205.7
Aug 20, 2026, EDT	FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: FC Inter Turku O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	12c	$209	-100%	-$208.81
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	32c	$120	+211.9%	+$254.26
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	38c	$295	+162.1%	+$478.17
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	8c	$40	+1,090.6%	+$436.24
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Cowboys vs. Seahawks AND Eagles vs. Ravens AND Seahawks vs. Cowboys3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	21c	$25	+371.4%	+$92.86
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Joe Kropschot vs. Jon Kunneman (Middleweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	4c	$40	+2,437.5%	+$974.99
Aug 6, 2026, EDT	Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 4.5 AND Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-01?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	33c	$50	+199%	+$99.48
Aug 6, 2026, EDT	Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 3.5 AND Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-01?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	39c	$150	+155.2%	+$232.78
Aug 6, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Honvéd (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season AND Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-08-05?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$85	+92.1%	+$78.26
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	Will CF Villarreal C win on 2026-08-05? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-05?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	31c	$41	+222.5%	+$92.02
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	Aston Villa vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5 AND BG Pathum United vs. Aston Villa: O/U 1.5 AND Will CF Villarreal C win on 2026-08-05? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-05?6 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	32c	$16	+212.9%	+$33.04
All 57 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.

Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$7,146

—no start of play

13 h 46resells

+0.16119% kept

47.2%17 W · 19 L

+4.8

+0.13

34c

+48.8%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$599	+150.6%	+$901.39
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$200	+25%	+$50
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$207	+141%	+$292.5
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$195	+28.2%	+$55
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$188	+33.3%	+$62.5
Jun 10, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$105	+138.1%	+$145
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$279	-100%	-$279.36
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$743	+34.7%	+$257.5
Dec 19, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$305	+391.8%	+$1,195
Dec 19, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$45	-100%	-$44.53
Dec 19, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$22	+123.4%	+$27.16
Dec 16, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$58	-100%	-$58
Dec 12, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$44	+588.4%	+$256.41
Dec 12, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$46	-100%	-$45.6
Dec 9, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$35	-100%	-$34.84
Dec 9, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$147	-100%	-$147.32
Dec 5, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$234	-100%	-$234
Dec 5, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$1,008	-100%	-$1,007.9
Dec 5, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$17	-100%	-$17
Dec 2, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$16	-100%	-$16.32
Dec 2, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$138	+189.9%	+$262
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$16	-100%	-$16
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$110	-100%	-$110.22
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$371	+95.6%	+$354.45
Nov 26, 2025, EST	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$19	-100%	-$19
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.

Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$9,548

before 14%in play 86%

2 h 20resells

+0.16119% kept

77.3%17 W · 5 L

+2.9

+0.13

64c

+24.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$2,221	+46.3%	+$1,028.8
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	Will Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$491	+105.6%	+$518.7
May 3, 2026, EDT	Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$800	+25%	+$200
Jan 18, 2026, EST	Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$1,340	+49.3%	+$660
Jan 9, 2026, EST	Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$899	-100%	-$899
Jan 5, 2026, EST	Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$300	+66.7%	+$200
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$108	-100%	-$108
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$78	+156.4%	+$122
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$655	+52.7%	+$345
Dec 30, 2025, EST	Will West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$300	+33.3%	+$100
Dec 30, 2025, EST	Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$126	+58.7%	+$74
Dec 23, 2025, EST	Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$314	-100%	-$314.21
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$410	+46.3%	+$190
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$148	+35.1%	+$52
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$54	+85.5%	+$46.1
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Derby County FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$148	+35.1%	+$52
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$158	+26.6%	+$42
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$100	+100%	+$100
Dec 8, 2025, EST	Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$46	-100%	-$45.59
Dec 3, 2025, EST	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$12	-100%	-$12
Dec 2, 2025, EST	Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$82	+28%	+$23
Nov 7, 2025, EST	Will Watford FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$758	+85.2%	+$646
All 22 picks, newest first.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT

$411

—too few: 2 picks

2 h 22to the end

+0.81100% kept

100%2 W · 0 L

+1.6

+0.80

20c

+411.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 13, 2026, EDT	KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Won (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$146	+426.3%	+$621.27
Aug 13, 2026, EDT	Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$265	+396.7%	+$1,050.9
All 2 picks, newest first.

Us Politicslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT

$41,727

—no start of play

22 h 58resells

+0.09112% kept

42.4%25 W · 34 L

+4.6

+0.08

35c

+14.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$1,006	+29.8%	+$299.59
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$919	+28.4%	+$261.18
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Trump renames AI by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$5,819	+86.5%	+$5,031.74
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Trump renames AI by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$3,421	+30.1%	+$1,031.11
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$252	-100%	-$252.1
Jun 29, 2026, EDT	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$2,291	+70.4%	+$1,612.88
Jun 23, 2026, EDT	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$17	-100%	-$16.72
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$3,569	-100%	-$3,569.22
May 22, 2026, EDT	Major US official out by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$2,435	+27.9%	+$680.22
May 14, 2026, EDT	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$7,355	-100%	-$7,354.83
May 13, 2026, EDT	Will Trump visit China by May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$360	-100%	-$360.01
Apr 21, 2026, EDT	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$17	+66.7%	+$11.5
Apr 18, 2026, EDT	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$22	-100%	-$21.75
Mar 2, 2026, EST	Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$481	-100%	-$480.65
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$11	-100%	-$11.1
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$221	-100%	-$221.4
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$35	-100%	-$34.96
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$797	-100%	-$796.67
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$37	-100%	-$37.4
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$73	-100%	-$72.98
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$119	-100%	-$119.24
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$169	-100%	-$169.04
Feb 18, 2026, EST	Will Mamdani say "Rent" or "Landlord" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$34	+194.1%	+$66
Feb 7, 2026, EST	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$200	-100%	-$200
Feb 3, 2026, EST	Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$118	-100%	-$117.75
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.

Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT

$1,683

—too few: 1 pick

5 h 24to the end

+0.1286% kept

62.5%10 W · 6 L

+2.2

+0.14

49c

+3.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Sebastian Fundora vs. Ermal Hadribeajon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Ermal Hadribeaj	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$49	-100%	-$48.9
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	IlloJuan	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$129	-100%	-$129
Feb 16, 2026, EST	Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$26	-100%	-$25.5
Feb 16, 2026, EST	Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$234	+28.2%	+$66
Feb 16, 2026, EST	Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$141	+112.8%	+$159
Feb 16, 2026, EST	Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$249	-100%	-$248.68
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$32	+138.1%	+$44.86
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$29	-100%	-$29
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$36	-100%	-$36
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$76	+31.6%	+$24
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Jake Paul walk out to Till I Die by Machine Gun Kelly?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$30	+66.7%	+$20
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Go the Distance?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$71	+40.6%	+$28.75
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Paul vs Joshua: Round 1 KO/TKO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$59	+35.1%	+$20.9
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$273	+83.2%	+$227
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$130	+53.8%	+$70
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$119	+61.3%	+$73.11
All 16 picks, newest first.

Australian A League Inactivelast settled Jan 11, 2026, EST

$2,643

—too few: 4 picks

2 h 22resells

+0.43115% kept

100%4 W · 0 L

+1.5

+0.37

63c

+71.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 11, 2026, EST	Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$1,624	+29%	+$471.04
Jan 5, 2026, EST	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$112	+78.6%	+$88
Jan 5, 2026, EST	Will Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$127	+148.6%	+$188.3
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$780	+30.7%	+$239.88
All 4 picks, newest first.

Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$49,238

—no start of play

21 h 53to the end

+0.03out of reach

46.2%18 W · 21 L

+2.1

+0.05

41c

-26.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$976	+44.5%	+$433.99
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$198	-100%	-$198.31
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$187	-100%	-$187.5
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$289	-100%	-$289.2
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$66	-100%	-$65.81
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$120	-100%	-$120.37
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$4,849	+139.4%	+$6,758.96
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$78	-100%	-$77.55
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$19	-100%	-$18.91
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$2,380	+47.1%	+$1,120
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$1,512	-100%	-$1,511.85
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$103	+49.3%	+$50.57
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$633	+46.7%	+$295.72
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$901	-100%	-$901.07
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 21, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$87	+72.4%	+$63
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$1,470	+36.1%	+$530
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$66	+49.3%	+$32.42
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$2,227	+34.7%	+$772.49
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$1,635	-100%	-$1,634.73
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$7,028	-100%	-$7,027.81
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$31	-100%	-$31
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$3,060	+63.4%	+$1,939.98
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$1,240	+61.3%	+$759.99
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$20	-100%	-$19.94
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$3,435	+34.9%	+$1,198.18
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.

NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$421,004

before 13%in play 87%

2 h 22resells

+0.0393% kept

447

40.7%182 W · 265 L

+14.2

+0.03

38c

-4.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Pacers vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Pacers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$2,167	+28.1%	+$608.21
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$206	-100%	-$206.49
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Thunder	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$485	+39.1%	+$189.58
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Spurs	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$79	-100%	-$78.75
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Thunder vs. Spurson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Spurs	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$100	-100%	-$100
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	76ers vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	76ers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$16,470	+89.7%	+$14,779.96
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Jazz vs. Sunson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Jazz	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$4,519	+121.3%	+$5,480.99
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Wizards vs. Pelicanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Wizards	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$2,044	-100%	-$2,043.7
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Raptors vs. Pistonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Raptors	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$2,661	-100%	-$2,660.87
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Thunder vs. Rocketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Thunder	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$849	-100%	-$849.28
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Spread: Clippers (-11.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Clippers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$29	+71.6%	+$20.45
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Nuggets vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Nuggets	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$5,475	-100%	-$5,474.98
Oct 14, 2026, EDT	Pistons vs. Timberwolveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Timberwolves	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$1,878	-100%	-$1,877.89
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Cavaliers vs. Magicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Magic	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$1,835	+36.2%	+$664.98
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Timberwolves vs. Knickson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Timberwolves	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$1,180	+69.5%	+$820
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Bulls vs. Nuggetson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bulls	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$913	-100%	-$912.78
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Grizzlies vs. Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Grizzlies	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$734	+51.5%	+$378.23
Oct 7, 2026, EDT	Magic vs. Grizzlieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Magic	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$550	+81.8%	+$450
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Warriors vs. Clipperson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Clippers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$5,471	+42.8%	+$2,344.38
Jul 27, 2026, EDT	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$1,361	+243.1%	+$3,308.13
Jul 27, 2026, EDT	Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$4,229	+53.7%	+$2,270.78
Jul 27, 2026, EDT	Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$1,880	-100%	-$1,880.31
Jul 27, 2026, EDT	NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$1,167	-100%	-$1,166.63
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$12	-100%	-$12
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$4,003	+87.3%	+$3,496.76
Showing 25 of 447 picks, newest first.

Middle Eastlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT

$216,408

—no start of play

1 dto the end

+0.02109% kept

179

39.7%71 W · 108 L

+4.1

+0.02

37c

-15%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$552	-100%	-$552.39
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$1,579	+30.1%	+$475.41
Oct 7, 2026, EDT	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$322	+92.7%	+$298.21
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$191	-100%	-$190.99
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$996	+50.5%	+$503.58
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$151	-100%	-$150.59
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$416	-100%	-$415.57
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$4,802	-100%	-$4,801.55
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$489	+80.6%	+$393.77
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$1,396	+28.9%	+$404
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$1,254	-100%	-$1,253.76
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$424	-100%	-$423.77
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$29	-100%	-$29.03
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$248	-100%	-$248.09
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$8,484	+116.3%	+$9,867.18
Sep 17, 2026, EDT	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$2,031	+170.8%	+$3,469.26
Sep 16, 2026, EDT	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$76	-100%	-$75.6
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$3,875	+27.5%	+$1,067.05
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$162	+162.9%	+$264.15
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$139	+59.5%	+$82.62
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$1,020	-100%	-$1,020.33
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$1,706	-100%	-$1,705.95
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$1,957	-100%	-$1,957
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$898	-100%	-$898.14
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$1,073	-100%	-$1,072.53
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.

Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT

$236,733

before 33%in play 67%

2 h 17to the end

+0.04184% kept

227

48.9%111 W · 116 L

+4.7

+0.02

47c

-11.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$132	-100%	-$131.98
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Argentina vs. Benin: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$976	+54.4%	+$530.49
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$198	-100%	-$198.4
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$671	-100%	-$670.54
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$1,102	-100%	-$1,101.6
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Burkina Faso?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	9c	$93	-100%	-$92.88
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: Burkina Faso O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$330	-100%	-$329.6
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$3,055	+239.8%	+$7,326.52
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$1,984	+29.8%	+$592.01
Jul 21, 2026, EDT	Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$12	+72.4%	+$8.4
Jul 20, 2026, EDT	Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$1,043	-100%	-$1,043
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$701	+25%	+$175.18
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$1,860	+36.6%	+$680
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$7,563	+85.1%	+$6,437.22
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$62	-100%	-$61.86
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$1,832	-100%	-$1,832.29
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$1,887	+59%	+$1,113.18
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will "Dai Dai" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$50	+100%	+$50
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Spain	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$4,591	+33.8%	+$1,550.86
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$100	-100%	-$100
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$120	-100%	-$120
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$46	-100%	-$46.27
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$1,063	-100%	-$1,062.5
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$161	-100%	-$161.19
Jul 18, 2026, EDT	Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$891	-100%	-$891.48
Showing 25 of 227 picks, newest first.

Serie A Inactivelast settled May 23, 2026, EDT

$6,274

before 0%in play 100%

1 h 19resells

+0.07119% kept

63.6%7 W · 4 L

+0.7

+0.06

58c

+3.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
May 23, 2026, EDT	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$1,590	-100%	-$1,590
Apr 17, 2026, EDT	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$1,750	+42.9%	+$750
Apr 4, 2026, EDT	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$450	+122.2%	+$549.96
Feb 9, 2026, EST	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$780	+28.2%	+$220
Jan 12, 2026, EST	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$690	+44.9%	+$310
Jan 7, 2026, EST	Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$451	+66.3%	+$299
Jan 7, 2026, EST	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$332	-100%	-$332
Dec 8, 2025, EST	Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$51	-100%	-$51
Dec 7, 2025, EST	Will SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$134	+49.3%	+$66
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$27	-100%	-$27
Nov 8, 2025, EST	Will Juventus vs. Torino end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$19	+85.2%	+$16
All 11 picks, newest first.

MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$397,710

before 5%in play 95%

1 h 15to the end

+0.03139% kept

58.2%53 W · 38 L

+2.1

+0.02

56c

-6.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$926	-100%	-$925.61
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardianson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cleveland Guardians	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$1,054	-100%	-$1,054.15
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Milwaukee Brewers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$4,079	+34.9%	+$1,421.5
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Hanwha Eagles	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$1,414	-100%	-$1,414.37
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kia Tigers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$17,188	+25.1%	+$4,312.07
Oct 7, 2026, EDT	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Samsung Lions	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$41	-100%	-$41
Oct 7, 2026, EDT	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Samsung Lions	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$856	+60.2%	+$515.71
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$7,537	+28.1%	+$2,114.56
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$2,910	+26.2%	+$762.73
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Houston Astros	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$3,380	-100%	-$3,380
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Los Angeles Dodgers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$974	-100%	-$973.94
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Toronto Blue Jays	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$530	-100%	-$530
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Los Angeles Angels	Won (open this pick on its own page)	26c	$740	+278.9%	+$2,063.1
Sep 18, 2026, EDT	Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Chicago Cubs	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$667	-100%	-$666.82
Sep 18, 2026, EDT	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Minnesota Twins	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$1,129	-100%	-$1,129
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Boston Red Sox	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$1,060	-100%	-$1,060.32
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Brice Turang: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$10	-100%	-$10.05
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athleticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Toronto Blue Jays	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$3,900	-100%	-$3,899.99
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cincinnati Reds	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$1,881	-100%	-$1,881.18
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	San Francisco Giants	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$9,101	+49.8%	+$4,531.76
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Los Angeles Dodgers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$3,251	+53.8%	+$1,748.91
Aug 29, 2026, EDT	Baltimore Orioles vs. Athleticson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Athletics	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$625	-100%	-$625.03
Aug 28, 2026, EDT	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	San Francisco Giants	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$1,863	+39.7%	+$739.42
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Los Angeles Dodgers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$2,200	-100%	-$2,200
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braveson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Los Angeles Dodgers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$4,310	-100%	-$4,310
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.

AI Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT

$40,635

—no start of play

13 h 59to the end

0.00out of reach

44.9%31 W · 38 L

+1.4

+0.02

43c

+6.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$35	+34.4%	+$12
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$162	-100%	-$162.5
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$861	-100%	-$861.43
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$85	-100%	-$85.4
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$17	-100%	-$17.04
Sep 12, 2026, EDT	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$212	+41.8%	+$88.5
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$352	-100%	-$352
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$636	-100%	-$636.46
Sep 4, 2026, EDT	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$365	-100%	-$365
Sep 4, 2026, EDT	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$138	+44.9%	+$62
Sep 4, 2026, EDT	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$937	-100%	-$937.3
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$218	+41.2%	+$89.9
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$355	+38.8%	+$137.65
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$270	-100%	-$270.48
Aug 2, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$53	-100%	-$53.04
Aug 2, 2026, EDT	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$92	-100%	-$92.49
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$110	-100%	-$110.29
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$750	-100%	-$750
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$64	-100%	-$64.24
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$40	-100%	-$40.4
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$99	+38%	+$37.65
Jul 3, 2026, EDT	Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$289	+84.8%	+$245.54
Jul 3, 2026, EDT	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$2,536	+67.6%	+$1,713.84
Jul 2, 2026, EDT	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$248	+73.4%	+$181.99
Jul 2, 2026, EDT	Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$79	+26.4%	+$20.9
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT

$28,815

before 0%in play 100%

46 minresells

0.00out of reach

56.4%31 W · 24 L

+0.9

+0.02

55c

-7.8%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Apr 4, 2026, EDT	Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins (W)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	UCLA Bruins	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$3,051	+31.1%	+$949
Apr 2, 2026, EDT	Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloeson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Oklahoma Sooners	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$490	+82.9%	+$405.96
Mar 17, 2026, EDT	Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	George Mason Patriots	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$300	-100%	-$300
Mar 15, 2026, EDT	California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverineson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Utah Valley Wolverines	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$584	-100%	-$584.5
Mar 11, 2026, EDT	Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagleson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Idaho Vandals	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$571	+31%	+$177.16
Mar 4, 2026, EST	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. James Madison Dukeson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	James Madison Dukes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$144	+31.2%	+$44.78
Feb 27, 2026, EST	UC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN Matadorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	CSUN Matadors	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$535	-100%	-$535.47
Feb 27, 2026, EST	Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Utah Tech Trailblazers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$493	+78.2%	+$385.32
Feb 26, 2026, EST	Washington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount Lionson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Washington State Cougars	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$1,266	-100%	-$1,266.31
Feb 25, 2026, EST	Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Ramson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Colorado State Rams	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$789	+38.9%	+$306.82
Feb 18, 2026, EST	Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricaneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Miami Hurricanes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$450	+122.2%	+$550
Feb 13, 2026, EST	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Riverside Highlanderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$1,883	+30.1%	+$567
Feb 12, 2026, EST	Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$1,557	+25.8%	+$401.97
Feb 8, 2026, EST	New Mexico State Aggies vs. UTEP Minerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	UTEP Miners	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$628	+63.5%	+$398.85
Feb 7, 2026, EST	Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bethune-Cookman Wildcats	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$395	+26.6%	+$105
Feb 6, 2026, EST	Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Tennessee State Tigers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$571	+42%	+$240.11
Feb 6, 2026, EST	Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bisonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Denver Pioneers	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$284	+36.9%	+$105.09
Feb 5, 2026, EST	Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beaverson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Washington State Cougars	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$281	-100%	-$280.67
Jan 27, 2026, EST	Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Akron Zips	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$195	+25%	+$48.8
Jan 25, 2026, EST	Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	South Florida Bulls	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$309	+34%	+$105
Jan 25, 2026, EST	UC Irvine Anteaters vs. California-San Diego Tritonson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	California-San Diego Tritons	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$146	-100%	-$146
Jan 21, 2026, EST	Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloeson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kansas Jayhawks	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$3,748	+29.1%	+$1,091.18
Jan 19, 2026, EST	Princeton Tigers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Dartmouth Big Green	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$518	+46.7%	+$242
Jan 10, 2026, EST	San Diego Toreros vs. Pacific Tigerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	San Diego Toreros	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$135	-100%	-$135.2
Jan 10, 2026, EST	Belmont Bruins vs. Drake Bulldogson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Belmont Bruins	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$100	+33.3%	+$33.41
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.

CS2last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$147,201

before 12%in play 88%

2 h 30to the end

+0.02155% kept

105

59%62 W · 43 L

+1.4

+0.01

58c

-9.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Falcons	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$2,220	-100%	-$2,219.5
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	BetBoom Team	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$965	-100%	-$965.16
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	ex-Keyd Stars	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$425	-100%	-$425.1
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	largadosypelados	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$4,805	+67.5%	+$3,244.61
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Games Total: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$985	+62.4%	+$615
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	A Great Chaos	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$45	-100%	-$44.74
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	A Great Chaos	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$35	-100%	-$35
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs A Great Chaos (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	A Great Chaos	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$20	-100%	-$20
Sep 18, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	MEIA NOITE	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$108	+37.8%	+$40.73
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Legacy	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$3,296	+55.6%	+$1,832.89
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Legacy	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$9,973	-100%	-$9,972.61
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Vitality	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$7,327	+36.5%	+$2,673.05
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: LAG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	LAG Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$10	-100%	-$10
Aug 31, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: LAG (-2.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	LAG Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$13	-100%	-$13.25
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Lynn Vision	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$385	-100%	-$384.6
Aug 24, 2026, EDT	Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$22	-100%	-$21.56
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Spirit	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$12,015	+48.9%	+$5,872.24
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FURIA	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$17,187	-100%	-$17,186.53
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	magic	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$7,954	+25.7%	+$2,045.76
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Don Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FURIA	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$11,997	+25%	+$3,002.81
Aug 14, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Con Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	PARIVISION	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$7,950	+25.8%	+$2,049.99
Aug 8, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	BORRACHEIROS	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$2,547	+61.4%	+$1,562.78
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	UNiTY esports	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$236	-100%	-$236.5
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	paiN	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$190	-100%	-$190
Jul 30, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	MOUZ	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$870	+72.4%	+$630
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.

Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST

$7,602

before 0%in play 100%

1 h 39resells

-0.03out of reach

42.9%6 W · 8 L

+0.4

+0.03

40c

+22.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Feb 22, 2026, EST	Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$1,032	-100%	-$1,032.19
Feb 22, 2026, EST	Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$1,849	-100%	-$1,849.14
Feb 22, 2026, EST	Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$390	+28.2%	+$110
Feb 22, 2026, EST	Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$2,359	-100%	-$2,359.28
Feb 20, 2026, EST	Will Brendan Mackay (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$150	-100%	-$149.52
Feb 20, 2026, EST	Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Canada	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$452	+33.3%	+$150.63
Feb 19, 2026, EST	Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$507	+100%	+$507.15
Feb 15, 2026, EST	Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$162	-100%	-$161.71
Feb 14, 2026, EST	Will William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$212	-100%	-$212.09
Feb 13, 2026, EST	Will Ryusei Yamada (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$106	-100%	-$105.65
Feb 13, 2026, EST	Will Ayumu Hirano (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$20	-100%	-$20
Feb 13, 2026, EST	Will Yuto Totsuka (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$13	+120.2%	+$15.89
Feb 13, 2026, EST	Will Scotty James (AUS) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$328	+162.2%	+$532.42
Feb 12, 2026, EST	Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$21	+669.2%	+$143.55
All 14 picks, newest first.

Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT

$19,902

—too few: 6 picks

1 h 07to the end

+0.03out of reach

66.7%4 W · 2 L

+0.3

+0.05

62c

-0.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$3,838	+30.3%	+$1,162.14
Aug 23, 2026, EDT	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$2,311	-100%	-$2,310.7
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$6,107	+29.3%	+$1,787.43
Aug 20, 2026, EDT	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$4,230	+89.1%	+$3,770
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$2,050	-100%	-$2,049.99
May 3, 2026, EDT	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$1,367	+51%	+$697.45
All 6 picks, newest first.

Commoditieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT

$49,255

—no start of play

19 h 16to the end

+0.02184% kept

35.8%19 W · 34 L

+0.7

+0.01

35c

-18.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$655	+159.6%	+$1,045.45
Oct 7, 2026, EDT	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$567	-100%	-$567
Oct 7, 2026, EDT	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$14	-100%	-$13.82
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$360	-100%	-$359.56
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$566	+68.3%	+$386.4
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$227	-100%	-$226.69
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$2,543	+27.8%	+$706.55
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$33	-100%	-$33
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$249	+77%	+$191.4
Sep 23, 2026, EDT	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$22	-100%	-$22.22
Sep 23, 2026, EDT	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$180	-100%	-$179.8
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Up	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$809	+38.5%	+$311.2
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$294	+567.6%	+$1,670.2
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$201	-100%	-$200.95
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$411	-100%	-$411.32
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$749	-100%	-$748.5
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$230	-100%	-$230.12
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$744	+170.3%	+$1,266.3
Aug 4, 2026, EDT	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$3,758	+108.7%	+$4,083.49
Aug 4, 2026, EDT	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$6,260	-100%	-$6,259.99
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$121	-100%	-$121.38
Jul 21, 2026, EDT	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$1,700	-100%	-$1,700
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$1,115	-100%	-$1,115
Jul 7, 2026, EDT	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on July 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	9c	$90	-100%	-$90
Jul 7, 2026, EDT	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$2,428	-100%	-$2,428
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.

Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT

$4,657

—no start of play

1 dto the end

+0.01out of reach

33.3%1 W · 2 L

+0.2

+0.08

26c

-53.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$1,406	-100%	-$1,406.17
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$3,227	+39.5%	+$1,273.17
Jan 4, 2026, EST	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$24	-100%	-$24
All 3 picks, newest first.

NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT

$77,596

before 7%in play 93%

3 h 14to the end

0.00out of reach

47.2%34 W · 38 L

+0.5

+0.01

47c

-3.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$1,524	-100%	-$1,523.93
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Cowboys vs. Packerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cowboys	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$3,871	-100%	-$3,871.13
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Bills vs. Raiderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bills	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$5,860	+28%	+$1,639.49
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Cardinals vs. Ramson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Rams	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$1,620	-100%	-$1,620
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Giants vs. Rams: O/U 39.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$1,170	-100%	-$1,170
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$2,740	-100%	-$2,740
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Cowboys vs. Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cowboys	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$1,990	-100%	-$1,989.99
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will Maxx Crosby play for Baltimore Ravens next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$70	+42.9%	+$30
Aug 28, 2026, EDT	Rams vs. Chargerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Rams	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$2,575	+70.9%	+$1,825
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	49ers vs. Raiderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Raiders	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$490	-100%	-$490
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Eagles vs. Patriotson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Eagles	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$18,558	-100%	-$18,558.36
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Eagles vs. Ravenson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Eagles	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	29c	$4,225	-100%	-$4,224.84
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Jaguars vs. Saintson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Saints	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$2,491	-100%	-$2,490.75
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$79	-100%	-$79.2
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$263	-100%	-$262.93
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$16	-100%	-$16.29
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$85	-100%	-$84.83
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$166	-100%	-$165.53
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$172	-100%	-$172.44
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$797	-100%	-$797.29
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$203	-100%	-$202.75
Feb 12, 2026, EST	Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$1,290	+397%	+$5,120.29
Feb 9, 2026, EST	Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$95	-100%	-$94.95
Feb 9, 2026, EST	Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$33	-100%	-$33.47
Feb 9, 2026, EST	Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$104	-100%	-$104.37
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.

Golf Inactivelast settled Jun 21, 2026, EDT

$2,463

—too few: 1 pick

1 dresells

+0.0380% kept

66.7%2 W · 1 L

+0.1

+0.04

63c

-9.6%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 21, 2026, EDT	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$1,451	+37.8%	+$549.01
Apr 12, 2026, EDT	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$188	+33.3%	+$62.5
Apr 12, 2026, EDT	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$825	-100%	-$825
All 3 picks, newest first.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT

$100

—no start of play

7 h 16resells

0.00no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

0.0

0.00

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$100	-100%	-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

Earnings Inactivelast settled Jul 27, 2026, EDT

$7,570

—no start of play

23 h 40resells

-0.01no edge

25%1 W · 3 L

0.0

-0.01

26c

-67.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 27, 2026, EDT	Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$7,513	+31.2%	+$2,343.93
Apr 27, 2026, EDT	Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$29	-100%	-$29.32
Nov 25, 2025, EST	Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$16	-100%	-$16
Nov 25, 2025, EST	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$12	-100%	-$12
All 4 picks, newest first.

Space Inactivelast settled Apr 26, 2026, EDT

$30

—no start of play

2 dresells

-0.06no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.1

-0.06

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Apr 26, 2026, EDT	Will there be exactly 3 major space weather events this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$30	-100%	-$29.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$66,491

before 27%in play 73%

3 h 17to the end

-0.01no edge

52.5%31 W · 28 L

-0.2

0.00

53c

-15.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	MVK Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$2,300	+117.4%	+$2,700
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FURIA Esports	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$4,217	-100%	-$4,217.33
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cloud9	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$980	-100%	-$980
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cloud9	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$1,950	+53.8%	+$1,050
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Cloud9	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$630	-100%	-$630
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$264	-100%	-$263.73
Sep 17, 2026, EDT	LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	eSuba	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$20	-100%	-$20
Sep 16, 2026, EDT	Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$3,570	+83.8%	+$2,992
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$1,566	+60.9%	+$953.94
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$923	+29%	+$267.83
Sep 6, 2026, EDT	LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	G2 Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$1,600	+25%	+$400
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Gen.G	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$4,438	-100%	-$4,438.38
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	DN SOOPers Challengers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$1,565	-100%	-$1,565
Aug 13, 2026, EDT	LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Role Swappers (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	ZeroZone Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$164	+37%	+$60.62
Aug 8, 2026, EDT	LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	SK Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$1,010	-100%	-$1,009.62
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Fnatic	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$2,042	-100%	-$2,042.49
Jul 31, 2026, EDT	LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Conviction	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$2,210	-100%	-$2,210
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bilibili Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$4,679	+33.6%	+$1,571.17
Jul 15, 2026, EDT	LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Karmine Corp	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$727	+37.5%	+$272.5
Jul 12, 2026, EDT	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Hanwha Life Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$380	+163.2%	+$619.99
Jul 8, 2026, EDT	LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	T1	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$6,719	-100%	-$6,718.99
Jun 28, 2026, EDT	LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$587	-100%	-$586.56
Jun 6, 2026, EDT	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FURIA Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$1,840	+35.9%	+$660
Mar 28, 2026, EDT	LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Oh My God	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$300	+66.7%	+$200
Mar 17, 2026, EDT	LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	LOUD	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$573	-100%	-$572.62
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.

Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT

$22,006

—no start of play

1 dto the end

-0.01no edge

33.3%2 W · 4 L

-0.2

-0.03

36c

-57.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$3,869	+29.2%	+$1,130.77
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$13,716	+26.7%	+$3,663.09
May 15, 2026, EDT	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$1,287	-100%	-$1,286.53
May 15, 2026, EDT	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$2,583	-100%	-$2,583.18
Mar 4, 2026, EST	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$41	-100%	-$41
Feb 21, 2026, EST	Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$511	-100%	-$510.68
All 6 picks, newest first.

Pokerlast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT

$4,171

—no start of play

4 dto the end

-0.35no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.2

-0.23

23c

-100%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$4,171	-100%	-$4,170.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

Euroleague Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT

$3,001

—too few: 4 picks

3 h 07resells

-0.06no edge

50%2 W · 2 L

-0.4

-0.10

60c

-12.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Besiktason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$990	-100%	-$990
May 5, 2026, EDT	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Real Madrid	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$736	-100%	-$735.63
Jan 20, 2026, EST	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Zalgiris Kaunason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Zalgiris Kaunas	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$1,177	+44.4%	+$523
Dec 19, 2025, EST	Barcelona vs. Saski Baskoniaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Barcelona	Won (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$98	+104.1%	+$102
All 4 picks, newest first.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT

$8,727

before 0%in play 100%

2 h 17resells

-0.01no edge

53.8%7 W · 6 L

-0.5

-0.04

58c

-4.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Will AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$544	+35.1%	+$191.05
Jul 26, 2026, EDT	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$4,189	+50.8%	+$2,126.96
Jan 3, 2026, EST	Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$270	-100%	-$270
Dec 30, 2025, EST	Will Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$108	-100%	-$108
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Will CD Tondela vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$390	-100%	-$390
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$1,580	+26.6%	+$420
Dec 8, 2025, EST	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$31	+222.6%	+$69
Dec 8, 2025, EST	Will Alanyaspor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$42	+138.1%	+$58
Dec 6, 2025, EST	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$260	+26.7%	+$69.5
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$18	-100%	-$18
Nov 24, 2025, EST	Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$15	-100%	-$15.48
Nov 21, 2025, EST	Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-11-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$59	-100%	-$59
Nov 7, 2025, EST	Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-11-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$1,220	+39.3%	+$480
All 13 picks, newest first.

F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT

$4,048

before 31%in play 69%

5 h 51to the end

-0.03no edge

36.8%7 W · 12 L

-0.8

-0.04

41c

-45.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$71	-100%	-$71.16
Jun 7, 2026, EDT	Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Leclerc	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$53	-100%	-$53.4
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$16	-100%	-$15.55
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$763	-100%	-$762.92
Mar 28, 2026, EDT	Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$134	-100%	-$134.41
Mar 15, 2026, EDT	Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bortoleto	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$22	-100%	-$22
Mar 14, 2026, EDT	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$74	-100%	-$74
Mar 14, 2026, EDT	Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$268	+49.3%	+$132
Mar 8, 2026, EDT	Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Norris?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Norris	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$108	+25.9%	+$28
Mar 8, 2026, EDT	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$836	+32.3%	+$269.88
Mar 8, 2026, EDT	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$1,204	+44.8%	+$539.76
Mar 6, 2026, EST	Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$20	-100%	-$20
Mar 6, 2026, EST	Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$220	+41.8%	+$92.12
Dec 7, 2025, EST	Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	11c	$74	-100%	-$74.27
Dec 7, 2025, EST	Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$28	+72.4%	+$19.92
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$59	+69.5%	+$41
Nov 9, 2025, EST	Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$66	-100%	-$66
Nov 9, 2025, EST	Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$14	-100%	-$13.67
Nov 9, 2025, EST	Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$18	-100%	-$17.5
All 19 picks, newest first.

China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT

$7,800

—no start of play

22 h 07to the end

-0.05no edge

33.3%4 W · 8 L

-0.7

-0.05

39c

-49.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$183	+63.9%	+$117
Jul 20, 2026, EDT	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$5,775	+55.1%	+$3,179.21
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$114	-100%	-$113.7
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$404	-100%	-$403.69
May 25, 2026, EDT	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$188	-100%	-$187.5
May 23, 2026, EDT	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$180	+38.9%	+$70
May 23, 2026, EDT	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$132	+51.5%	+$68
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$632	-100%	-$631.75
May 15, 2026, EDT	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$60	-100%	-$60
May 15, 2026, EDT	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$15	-100%	-$15.2
May 14, 2026, EDT	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$96	-100%	-$96
Apr 24, 2026, EDT	DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$22	-100%	-$21.95
All 12 picks, newest first.

South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT

$21,141

before 0%in play 100%

2 h 40to the end

-0.03no edge

56.3%9 W · 7 L

-0.8

-0.05

61c

-7.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$426	-100%	-$425.51
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$539	-100%	-$539.08
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$10,233	-100%	-$10,233.17
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$1,171	+44.7%	+$523.73
Jul 19, 2026, EDT	Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$3,236	+41.9%	+$1,357.44
Apr 13, 2026, EDT	Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$1,476	+35.5%	+$523.48
Apr 2, 2026, EDT	Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$193	+35.1%	+$67.87
Feb 7, 2026, EST	Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$764	-100%	-$764.24
Feb 7, 2026, EST	Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Unión end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$245	-100%	-$245
Jan 23, 2026, EST	Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$1,650	-100%	-$1,650
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Will EC Juventude vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$350	+56.3%	+$196.88
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-11-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$60	+66.7%	+$40
Nov 26, 2025, EST	Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$50	-100%	-$50
Nov 26, 2025, EST	Will CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$50	+212.5%	+$106.25
Nov 20, 2025, EST	Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$432	+38.9%	+$168
Nov 19, 2025, EST	Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$266	+48.9%	+$130.12
All 16 picks, newest first.

Music Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT

$17,682

—no start of play

23 h 51to the end

-0.05no edge

38.7%12 W · 19 L

-1.2

-0.04

43c

-24%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 2, 2026, EDT	Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$12	-100%	-$12
Jul 2, 2026, EDT	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$29	-100%	-$28.99
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$28	-100%	-$27.75
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$305	+63.9%	+$195
May 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$86	-100%	-$86
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$924	+56.9%	+$525.88
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$165	-100%	-$165
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will France win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$67	-100%	-$67.22
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$2,156	-100%	-$2,156.16
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$195	-100%	-$195.3
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$112	+33.3%	+$37.23
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$280	-100%	-$279.99
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$375	-100%	-$375
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$152	+31.6%	+$47.99
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$457	-100%	-$457
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$719	+178.2%	+$1,281
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$85	-100%	-$85
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$340	+303.4%	+$1,030.93
May 16, 2026, EDT	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$760	+31.6%	+$240
May 15, 2026, EDT	Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$35	-100%	-$35
Mar 1, 2026, EST	Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$18	+66.7%	+$12.2
Feb 15, 2026, EST	Will Marseaux win Sing for Greece 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$13	-100%	-$13
Feb 6, 2026, EST	Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$1,906	+59.4%	+$1,132.56
Feb 3, 2026, EST	Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$1,603	+61%	+$977.09
Feb 2, 2026, EST	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$1,340	+228.4%	+$3,060
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.

Valorant Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT

$29,335

before 20%in play 80%

2 h 33to the end

-0.04no edge

55%11 W · 9 L

-1.3

-0.06

61c

-6.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	NRG	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$1,360	-100%	-$1,360.45
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Sentinels	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$2,675	-100%	-$2,674.65
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	G2 Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$5,478	+27.8%	+$1,522.33
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	FURIA Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$636	+374.4%	+$2,381.03
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Inson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Fire Flux Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$828	+29.1%	+$240.89
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	100 Thieves	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$6,980	-100%	-$6,980
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	G2 Esports	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$2,060	+45.6%	+$940
Jul 29, 2026, EDT	Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Vitality	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$700	+42.9%	+$299.99
Jul 25, 2026, EDT	Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	JD Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$139	-100%	-$139.1
Jul 24, 2026, EDT	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	100 Thieves	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$2,338	+42.1%	+$985.56
Jul 18, 2026, EDT	Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	All Gamers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$1,687	-100%	-$1,687.07
Jul 18, 2026, EDT	Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	All Gamers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$972	-100%	-$972.5
Jul 4, 2026, EDT	Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	QoR	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$765	+30.7%	+$235
Jun 25, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: TL.A (-1.5) vs Ghools Esports (+1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid Academy	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$40	+25%	+$10
Jun 25, 2026, EDT	Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid Academy	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$366	+36.6%	+$133.88
Jun 2, 2026, EDT	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	NRG Academy	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$705	-100%	-$705
Mar 9, 2026, EDT	Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Paper Rex	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$374	-100%	-$374
Jan 28, 2026, EST	Valorant: Blue Otter vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Azure Dragon Gaming	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$200	+50.4%	+$101.02
Jan 6, 2026, EST	Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports (BO3)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	GnG Amazigh	Won (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$661	+70.6%	+$466.74
Dec 18, 2025, EST	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Paper Rex (BO1)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Paper Rex	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$369	-100%	-$369.38
All 20 picks, newest first.

Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Dec 20, 2025, EST

$2,739

—too few: 4 picks

2 h 09resells

-0.23no edge

50%2 W · 2 L

-0.9

-0.23

73c

-29.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Dec 20, 2025, EST	Will Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$195	+28.2%	+$55
Dec 19, 2025, EST	Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$325	+53.8%	+$175
Nov 7, 2025, EST	Will Werder Bremen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$1,686	-100%	-$1,686.26
Nov 7, 2025, EST	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$532	-100%	-$532.45
All 4 picks, newest first.

NHL Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT

$10,675

before 10%in play 90%

1 h 33resells

-0.10no edge

42.9%9 W · 12 L

-1.5

-0.07

50c

-25.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Canucks vs. Oilerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Canucks	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$2,143	+34.8%	+$744.85
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	Maple Leafs vs. Canadienson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Canadiens	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$855	+28.7%	+$245.01
May 30, 2026, EDT	World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Canada	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$2,400	-100%	-$2,399.99
Apr 27, 2026, EDT	Oilers vs. Duckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Oilers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$1,877	-100%	-$1,877.09
Apr 17, 2026, EDT	Blues vs. Utahon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Blues	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$1,318	+101.1%	+$1,331.98
Jan 14, 2026, EST	Flames vs. Blue Jacketson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Blue Jackets	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$318	+57.3%	+$182.16
Jan 12, 2026, EST	Capitals vs. Predatorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Predators	Won (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$480	+108.3%	+$520
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Utah vs. Islanderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Islanders	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$100	-100%	-$100
Dec 11, 2025, EST	Kings vs. Krakenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kings	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$55	-100%	-$55
Dec 10, 2025, EST	Avalanche vs. Predatorson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Avalanche	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$177	-100%	-$177.25
Dec 10, 2025, EST	Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$142	-100%	-$142
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Canucks vs. Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kings	Won (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$110	+90.3%	+$99.26
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Sharks vs. Golden Knightson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Sharks	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$14	-100%	-$14
Nov 24, 2025, EST	Flames vs. Canuckson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Canucks	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$36	-100%	-$36.1
Nov 16, 2025, EST	Jets vs. Flameson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Jets	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$55	+81.8%	+$45
Nov 16, 2025, EST	Sharks vs. Krakenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kraken	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$54	+85.2%	+$46
Nov 15, 2025, EST	Canucks vs. Hurricaneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Canucks	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$30	-100%	-$30
Nov 14, 2025, EST	Jets vs. Krakenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Jets	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$68	-100%	-$68
Nov 12, 2025, EST	Ducks vs. Avalancheon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Ducks	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$62	-100%	-$62
Nov 10, 2025, EST	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Canucks	Won (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$275	+81.8%	+$225
Nov 7, 2025, EST	Rangers vs. Red Wingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Red Wings	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	53c	$106	-100%	-$106
All 21 picks, newest first.

La Liga Inactivelast settled Jan 12, 2026, EST

$2,705

before 0%in play 100%

2 h 19to the end

-0.12no edge

50%5 W · 5 L

-1.3

-0.13

63c

-16.4%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jan 12, 2026, EST	Will SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$86	-100%	-$86.43
Jan 10, 2026, EST	Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$600	+66.7%	+$400
Jan 3, 2026, EST	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$780	+92.3%	+$720
Jan 3, 2026, EST	Will UD Almería vs. Granada CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$314	-100%	-$314.45
Jan 2, 2026, EST	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$80	-100%	-$80
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Will Granada CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$300	+66.7%	+$200
Dec 21, 2025, EST	Will CD Mirandés vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$127	-100%	-$127.43
Dec 8, 2025, EST	Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$148	-100%	-$147.99
Dec 2, 2025, EST	Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$80	+25%	+$20
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$189	+85.2%	+$161
All 10 picks, newest first.

Venezuelalast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT

$4,156

—no start of play

21 h 36resells

-0.14no edge

22.2%2 W · 7 L

-1.3

-0.15

37c

-60.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 1, 2026, EDT	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$1,482	-100%	-$1,481.98
Feb 1, 2026, EST	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$600	+85.2%	+$511.55
Jan 15, 2026, EST	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$97	-100%	-$97.16
Jan 4, 2026, EST	US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$66	-100%	-$66
Jan 3, 2026, EST	Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$65	-100%	-$65
Jan 3, 2026, EST	US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$600	+66.7%	+$400
Jan 1, 2026, EST	U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$1,065	-100%	-$1,065.14
Dec 1, 2025, EST	US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$170	-100%	-$169.99
Nov 15, 2025, EST	US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$10	-100%	-$10.4
All 9 picks, newest first.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT

$11,315

—too few: 6 picks

4 h 02to the end

-0.21no edge

33.3%2 W · 4 L

-1.3

-0.21

55c

+15.8%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$8,973	+39.3%	+$3,526.76
May 27, 2026, EDT	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$180	+455.6%	+$820
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$1,180	-100%	-$1,180
May 17, 2026, EDT	Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$790	-100%	-$790
Nov 9, 2025, EST	Will FC Metz vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$100	-100%	-$100
Nov 9, 2025, EST	Will Angers SCO vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$92	-100%	-$91.74
All 6 picks, newest first.

Token Launcheslast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT

$14,186

—no start of play

10 h 29to the end

-0.07no edge

28.6%8 W · 20 L

-2.3

-0.08

37c

-51.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$351	-100%	-$351.19
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$126	+227.6%	+$287.4
Jul 17, 2026, EDT	Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$1,973	+26.7%	+$527.09
Jul 4, 2026, EDT	Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$251	-100%	-$250.89
Jul 4, 2026, EDT	Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$487	-100%	-$487
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$30	+43.8%	+$13.06
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$93	+40.8%	+$38.13
May 26, 2026, EDT	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$84	-100%	-$83.85
May 26, 2026, EDT	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$1,061	+41.3%	+$438.44
May 26, 2026, EDT	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$307	-100%	-$306.78
Apr 14, 2026, EDT	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$31	-100%	-$30.5
Apr 14, 2026, EDT	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$61	-100%	-$60.79
Apr 14, 2026, EDT	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$135	-100%	-$135
Apr 14, 2026, EDT	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$85	-100%	-$85
Apr 14, 2026, EDT	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$17	-100%	-$17.5
Mar 24, 2026, EDT	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$150	-100%	-$150
Mar 8, 2026, EST	Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$365	+33.8%	+$123.32
Mar 5, 2026, EST	No token launch by March 31on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$48	-100%	-$48.13
Feb 7, 2026, EST	Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$105	-100%	-$105
Jan 29, 2026, EST	Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$339	-100%	-$339.44
Jan 22, 2026, EST	ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$40	-100%	-$40.4
Jan 22, 2026, EST	ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$11	-100%	-$10.5
Jan 21, 2026, EST	Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$102	-100%	-$102.5
Jan 3, 2026, EST	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$1,334	-100%	-$1,334.02
Jan 2, 2026, EST	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$438	+59.8%	+$262
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.

WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT

$34,481

before 0%in play 100%

1 h 16to the end

-0.11no edge

37.5%6 W · 10 L

-2.0

-0.12

50c

+16.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$2,955	-100%	-$2,955.27
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$55	-100%	-$55.39
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$176	+25%	+$44
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Seattle Storm	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$764	-100%	-$763.75
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercuryon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Phoenix Mercury	Won (open this pick on its own page)	9c	$337	+1,011.1%	+$3,412.49
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Stormon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Toronto Tempo	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$925	-100%	-$925
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Indiana Fever	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$1,300	-100%	-$1,300
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	New York Liberty	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$3,909	-100%	-$3,909.07
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Golden State Valkyries	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$4,017	+66%	+$2,650
Aug 2, 2026, EDT	Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyrieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Toronto Tempo	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$634	-100%	-$633.55
Jul 2, 2026, EDT	Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Connecticut Sun	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$5,842	-100%	-$5,842.18
Jun 14, 2026, EDT	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercuryon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Phoenix Mercury	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$3,750	-100%	-$3,750
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFireon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Las Vegas Aces	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$1,590	+57.2%	+$910
Jun 9, 2026, EDT	Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Skyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Atlanta Dream	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$1,778	+40.6%	+$722
Jun 6, 2026, EDT	Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparkson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Los Angeles Sparks	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$1,479	-100%	-$1,478.99
Jun 4, 2026, EDT	Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feveron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Indiana Fever	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$4,970	+61%	+$3,029.98
All 16 picks, newest first.

Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$6,904

before 50%in play 50%

14 h 19to the end

-0.09no edge

38.5%10 W · 16 L

-2.5

-0.10

48c

-28%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$29	-100%	-$29
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$157	+27.4%	+$43
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$130	+92.7%	+$120.27
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$189	+32.6%	+$61.5
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$50	-100%	-$50.31
Oct 11, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$736	+35.8%	+$263.87
Aug 19, 2026, EDT	Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$435	-100%	-$435.14
Aug 7, 2026, EDT	Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$772	+62.5%	+$482.14
Jun 25, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$121	-100%	-$121.09
Jun 25, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$161	-100%	-$160.81
Jun 24, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$960	-100%	-$959.97
May 15, 2026, EDT	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$1,517	-100%	-$1,517.1
May 12, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$26	-100%	-$26
May 12, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$23	-100%	-$23.5
May 5, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$110	-100%	-$109.5
May 3, 2026, EDT	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 3?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$165	+51.5%	+$85
Mar 27, 2026, EDT	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$615	-100%	-$614.67
Mar 9, 2026, EDT	Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$186	+35.3%	+$65.82
Feb 25, 2026, EST	Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$55	-100%	-$55.43
Feb 25, 2026, EST	Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$19	-100%	-$19.36
Dec 9, 2025, EST	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on December 9?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	9c	$21	-100%	-$21.04
Dec 9, 2025, EST	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$162	-100%	-$162
Dec 2, 2025, EST	Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 2?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$158	+26.6%	+$42
Dec 1, 2025, EST	Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$22	-100%	-$21.66
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$28	+257.1%	+$72
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.

World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$79,499

—no start of play

2 dresells

-0.08no edge

28.9%24 W · 59 L

-6.1

-0.07

36c

-19.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$88	-100%	-$87.83
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$1,341	-100%	-$1,340.69
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$147	+1,925.5%	+$2,825.13
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$267	-100%	-$267.09
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$1,782	+26.3%	+$468.28
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$156	+60.2%	+$93.92
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$114	-100%	-$113.84
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	15c	$116	-100%	-$116.4
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$464	-100%	-$464.47
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$720	-100%	-$720
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	8c	$16	-100%	-$16
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$307	+29.9%	+$92.02
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$157	-100%	-$157.1
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$241	-100%	-$241.5
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$305	-100%	-$305.12
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$21	-100%	-$21
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$48	-100%	-$48.15
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$27	+185.7%	+$50.7
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	63c	$472	-100%	-$471.62
Sep 17, 2026, EDT	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	SD	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$1,750	-100%	-$1,750
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$85	-100%	-$84.5
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$1,400	-100%	-$1,400
Sep 4, 2026, EDT	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$52	-100%	-$52.13
Sep 4, 2026, EDT	Will Ahsanul Hafiz get second place in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$128	-100%	-$128.01
Sep 4, 2026, EDT	Will Noor Tarun get second place in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$207	-100%	-$207.18
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.

IPO Inactivelast settled Jun 12, 2026, EDT

$10,786

—no start of play

2 dto the end

-0.27no edge

12.5%1 W · 7 L

-1.9

-0.24

37c

-79.8%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$155	+61.3%	+$95
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	10c	$97	-100%	-$97
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$71	-100%	-$70.83
Jun 12, 2026, EDT	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$905	-100%	-$904.99
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	9c	$237	-100%	-$236.96
Jun 1, 2026, EDT	Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$250	-100%	-$249.94
Feb 16, 2026, EST	Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$3,646	-100%	-$3,645.85
Feb 16, 2026, EST	Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$5,425	-100%	-$5,425.05
All 8 picks, newest first.

Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$23,553

—no start of play

11 h 34to the end

-0.16no edge

23.3%7 W · 23 L

-3.6

-0.12

35c

-58.8%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDT	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$19	-100%	-$19
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$94	-100%	-$94
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$122	+63.9%	+$78
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$967	-100%	-$966.59
Aug 25, 2026, EDT	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$399	-100%	-$398.98
Aug 25, 2026, EDT	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$173	-100%	-$173.48
Aug 24, 2026, EDT	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$400	-100%	-$399.72
Aug 24, 2026, EDT	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$195	-100%	-$195.12
Aug 24, 2026, EDT	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$182	-100%	-$182.4
Aug 13, 2026, EDT	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$1,516	+42.9%	+$649.55
Aug 12, 2026, EDT	Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$1,497	+37%	+$553.5
Aug 6, 2026, EDT	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$720	-100%	-$720
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	7c	$1,253	-100%	-$1,252.68
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$1,130	-100%	-$1,130
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$263	-100%	-$262.5
Aug 5, 2026, EDT	Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	31c	$326	-100%	-$325.5
Jul 28, 2026, EDT	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$500	-100%	-$500
Jun 24, 2026, EDT	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$165	+203%	+$334.99
Jun 24, 2026, EDT	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$429	+79.9%	+$343.07
Jun 23, 2026, EDT	Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	55c	$275	-100%	-$275
Jun 16, 2026, EDT	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$11,212	+56.1%	+$6,287.61
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$558	-100%	-$557.5
Jun 3, 2026, EDT	Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$56	-100%	-$56
May 20, 2026, EDT	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$86	-100%	-$86.01
May 20, 2026, EDT	Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$98	+53.4%	+$52.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.

Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT

$21,513

before 13%in play 87%

5 h 01to the end

-0.12no edge

38.7%12 W · 19 L

-4.0

-0.13

52c

-26.7%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Sep 18, 2026, EDT	T20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs Malaysia - Toss Match Double Japan Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$100	-100%	-$100
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	T20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs Malaysiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Malaysia	Won (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$604	+402.3%	+$2,430.41
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Jalandhar Warriors	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$1,162	-100%	-$1,162.17
Jul 13, 2026, EDT	Will India win?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$144	+25.8%	+$37.06
Jun 11, 2026, EDT	ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Australia	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$245	-100%	-$244.54
Jun 9, 2026, EDT	ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Australia	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$230	-100%	-$229.97
Jun 2, 2026, EDT	T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussexon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Sussex	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$285	-100%	-$285
Jun 2, 2026, EDT	T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	India	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$230	-100%	-$230
May 28, 2026, EDT	T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	India	Won (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$300	+66.7%	+$200
May 25, 2026, EDT	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand Aon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	New Zealand A	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$641	+29.7%	+$190.75
May 23, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Lucknow Super Giants	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$180	-100%	-$180
May 21, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Chennai Super Kings	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$233	-100%	-$232.5
May 19, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Rajasthan Royals	Won (open this pick on its own page)	64c	$1,912	+56.9%	+$1,088
May 18, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Chennai Super Kings	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$379	-100%	-$379.23
May 17, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Rajasthan Royals	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$608	-100%	-$607.99
May 16, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titanson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kolkata Knight Riders	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$3,960	+26.3%	+$1,040
May 14, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indianson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Punjab Kings	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$300	-100%	-$300.02
May 13, 2026, EDT	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kolkata Knight Riders	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$1,640	-100%	-$1,639.65
Apr 23, 2026, EDT	Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Karachi Kings	Won (open this pick on its own page)	52c	$784	+91.3%	+$716
Jan 20, 2026, EST	WPL: Delhi Capitals Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Delhi Capitals Women	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$3,790	+32.5%	+$1,232.99
Dec 27, 2025, EST	Will Australia win?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$2,138	-100%	-$2,138.36
Dec 27, 2025, EST	Will England win?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$251	-100%	-$251.35
Dec 11, 2025, EST	India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	India	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$172	-100%	-$172.49
Dec 3, 2025, EST	India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	India	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$204	-100%	-$203.99
Nov 30, 2025, EST	India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	India	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$70	+42.9%	+$30
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.

Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT

$3,762

—too few: 9 picks

4 h 14to the end

-0.19no edge

22.2%2 W · 7 L

-2.5

-0.28

50c

-62.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$1,050	+100.3%	+$1,052.91
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	14c	$156	-100%	-$156.37
May 30, 2026, EDT	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$1,875	+33.3%	+$625
Jan 28, 2026, EST	Will Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$226	-100%	-$225.84
Dec 10, 2025, EST	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$40	-100%	-$40
Dec 10, 2025, EST	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$51	-100%	-$51.26
Dec 10, 2025, EST	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	56c	$56	-100%	-$56
Dec 9, 2025, EST	Will Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$23	-100%	-$22.75
Nov 25, 2025, EST	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$285	-100%	-$285
All 9 picks, newest first.

UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$96,609

before 9%in play 91%

55 minto the end

-0.09no edge

164

37.8%62 W · 102 L

-14.3

-0.09

47c

-30.3%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Timmy Cuamba	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$660	+51.5%	+$340
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Tanner Boser	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$660	+51.5%	+$339.99
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$54	+85.2%	+$46
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	O/U 1.5 Roundson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	46c	$445	-100%	-$445.48
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Will the fight be won by submission?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	30c	$300	-100%	-$300
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Brendan Allen	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$1,160	+29.3%	+$340
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$690	-100%	-$690.29
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	O/U 1.5 Roundson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$3,139	+43.6%	+$1,367.85
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Fight to Go the Distance?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$90	+122.2%	+$110
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Lucas Armand	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$116	-100%	-$116
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Luca Borando	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$18	-100%	-$18.36
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	Will Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu win in Round 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$2,431	+311.4%	+$7,569.44
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Alexandre Pantoja	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	25c	$660	-100%	-$659.95
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Zevan Hunt vs. Mayton Perea (Welterweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Zevan Hunt	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$887	-100%	-$887.5
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Oscar Ravello vs. Igor Cavalcanti (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Oscar Ravello	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$336	-100%	-$335.92
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Hugo Guillon	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$488	-100%	-$488.45
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Salahdine Parnasse	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$790	+26.6%	+$210
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Axel Sola	Won (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$440	+127.3%	+$560
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Michael Page	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$3,595	+33.5%	+$1,204.66
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Punahele Soriano	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	16c	$525	-100%	-$525.27
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Trevor Peek	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	23c	$230	-100%	-$230
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Muhammad Naimov	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$235	-100%	-$235
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Morgan Charrière	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$350	-100%	-$350
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Ryan Spann	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$275	-100%	-$275.19
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Oumar Sy	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$390	-100%	-$390
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.

College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$31,372

before 13%in play 87%

1 h 43to the end

-0.13no edge

34.4%11 W · 21 L

-4.4

-0.14

48c

-42%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Kentucky vs. Oklahomaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kentucky	Won (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$620	+61.3%	+$380
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	Kansas vs. Utah: 3Q O/U 7.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	49c	$403	+103.8%	+$418.08
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Texas State vs. San Diego Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Texas State	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$1,766	-100%	-$1,765.89
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	Bucknell vs. Pittsburghon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Bucknell	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	0c	$10	-100%	-$10
Sep 12, 2026, EDT	South Florida vs. Army: O/U 47.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Under	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	20c	$200	-100%	-$199.99
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	SMU vs. Florida Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	SMU	Won (open this pick on its own page)	79c	$15,268	+26.8%	+$4,091.64
Jan 20, 2026, EST	Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$301	-100%	-$301.49
Jan 20, 2026, EST	College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$560	-100%	-$560.21
Jan 20, 2026, EST	Miami vs. Indianaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Indiana	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$740	+35.1%	+$259.98
Jan 1, 2026, EST	Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiderson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Texas Tech Red Raiders	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	26c	$877	-100%	-$876.67
Dec 30, 2025, EST	Tennessee vs. Illinoison Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Illinois	Won (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$335	+49.3%	+$165
Dec 28, 2025, EST	LSU vs. Houstonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Houston	Won (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$818	+28.4%	+$231.96
Dec 27, 2025, EST	Connecticut vs. Armyon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Army	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$1,778	+43.4%	+$771.57
Dec 27, 2025, EST	Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Pittsburgh	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$1,377	-100%	-$1,376.6
Dec 27, 2025, EST	Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Florida International	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$972	-100%	-$972.45
Dec 26, 2025, EST	New Mexico vs. Minnesotaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	New Mexico	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	24c	$728	-100%	-$727.5
Dec 25, 2025, EST	California vs. Hawaiion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	California	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$2,522	-100%	-$2,521.56
Dec 6, 2025, EST	Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Stateon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Kennesaw State	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$254	+31.2%	+$79.25
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Spread: Hawaii (-10.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Wyoming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$114	-100%	-$114
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Spread: Hawaii (-8.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Wyoming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	50c	$100	-100%	-$100
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Wyoming vs. Hawaiion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Wyoming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$66	-100%	-$66
Nov 28, 2025, EST	Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskerson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Nebraska Cornhuskers	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$45	-100%	-$45
Nov 26, 2025, EST	Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Eastern Michigan	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	60c	$72	-100%	-$72
Nov 26, 2025, EST	Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Eastern Michigan	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$38	-100%	-$38
Nov 26, 2025, EST	Spread: Western Michigan (-9.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Eastern Michigan	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	78c	$39	-100%	-$39
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.

Asian League Inactivelast settled Feb 24, 2026, EST

$8,813

before 0%in play 100%

2 h 52resells

-0.11no edge

45%9 W · 11 L

-3.6

-0.18

63c

-32.2%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Feb 24, 2026, EST	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	45c	$135	-100%	-$135
Jan 25, 2026, EST	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$206	-100%	-$206
Jan 22, 2026, EST	Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$632	-100%	-$631.74
Jan 20, 2026, EST	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$2,504	+34.1%	+$854.7
Jan 12, 2026, EST	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$858	+41.9%	+$359.53
Jan 12, 2026, EST	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$377	-100%	-$376.62
Jan 9, 2026, EST	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Over	Won (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$307	+25.3%	+$77.6
Jan 8, 2026, EST	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$605	+41.3%	+$249.79
Jan 2, 2026, EST	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$81	+85.8%	+$69.25
Dec 30, 2025, EST	Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$370	+35.1%	+$130
Dec 25, 2025, EST	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$380	-100%	-$380
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	70c	$70	-100%	-$70
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	38c	$38	-100%	-$38
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$58	-100%	-$58
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$59	-100%	-$59
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	68c	$68	+47.1%	+$31.88
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$61	-100%	-$61
Nov 30, 2025, EST	Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2025-11-30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	47c	$47	+112.8%	+$53
Nov 9, 2025, EST	Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$1,462	-100%	-$1,462
Nov 9, 2025, EST	Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$495	+33%	+$163.37
All 20 picks, newest first.

Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT

$109,655

before 12%in play 88%

2 h 21to the end

-0.12no edge

37.5%21 W · 35 L

-7.6

-0.14

51c

-35.1%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 10, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Kinetix	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	2c	$287	-100%	-$286.75
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Yandex	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$838	-100%	-$837.93
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Level UP	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$722	-100%	-$722.49
Aug 23, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Spirit	Won (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$845	+150%	+$1,267.84
Aug 23, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Yandex	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	19c	$4,796	-100%	-$4,796.33
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Nigma Galaxy	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	12c	$1,962	-100%	-$1,961.69
Aug 22, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$7,805	-100%	-$7,804.6
Aug 21, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	5c	$179	-100%	-$179.36
Aug 21, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Spirit	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$3,600	-100%	-$3,600
Aug 21, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$5,400	+85.2%	+$4,599.99
Aug 21, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$94	-100%	-$94.11
Aug 21, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Iron Wing	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	58c	$13,897	-100%	-$13,897.37
Aug 20, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Spirit	Won (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$7,200	+38.9%	+$2,800.1
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Aurora	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$1,314	-100%	-$1,314.24
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Aurora	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	40c	$1,989	-100%	-$1,989.29
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Won (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$11,807	+33.7%	+$3,977.29
Aug 15, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Vici Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	41c	$4,136	-100%	-$4,135.85
Aug 14, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Nigma Galaxy	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$4,039	+62.9%	+$2,541.93
Aug 14, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	HULIGANI	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$4,154	-100%	-$4,153.58
Aug 14, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stageon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Won (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$9,187	+44.5%	+$4,088.54
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Team Liquid	Won (open this pick on its own page)	73c	$1,825	+37%	+$675
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Vici Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$2,160	-100%	-$2,159.99
Jul 16, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	PARIVISION	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$3,850	+29.9%	+$1,150
Jul 14, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Xtreme Gaming	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	36c	$360	-100%	-$360
Jun 5, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	REKONIX	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$1,135	+32.2%	+$365
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.

Tennislast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT

$398,806

before 11%in play 89%

2 h 17to the end

-0.10no edge

173

41.6%72 W · 101 L

-18.7

-0.11

52c

-32.9%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Cali: Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Buenoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Gonzalo Bueno	Won (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$6,212	+74.1%	+$4,606.49
Oct 19, 2026, EDT	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Elise Mertens	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	65c	$3,178	-100%	-$3,177.61
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanukion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Shintaro Mochizuki	Won (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$19,308	+109.2%	+$21,081.2
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenkoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Diana Shnaider	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$7,390	-100%	-$7,390
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaruon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	3c	$571	-100%	-$570.76
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescuon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Antonia Ruzic	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$1,301	-100%	-$1,300.82
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Catania: Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenkoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	32c	$79	-100%	-$79.4
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Ekaterina Alexandrova	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	22c	$328	-100%	-$327.5
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworthon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	James Duckworth	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$1,050	-100%	-$1,050
Sep 18, 2026, EDT	Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearnson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Peyton Stearns	Won (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$1,366	+126.8%	+$1,732.97
Sep 17, 2026, EDT	Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Matisse Bobichon	Won (open this pick on its own page)	35c	$875	+185.7%	+$1,625
Sep 16, 2026, EDT	W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Ying Zhangon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Sijia Wei	Won (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$2,632	+40.9%	+$1,077.8
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Phan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Dong Ju Kimon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Dong Ju Kim	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	37c	$1,490	-100%	-$1,489.84
Sep 11, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Sheltonon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Frances Tiafoe	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	34c	$1,700	-100%	-$1,699.99
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	Phan Thiet 3: Florent Bax vs Maximus Joneson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Florent Bax	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	67c	$6,058	-100%	-$6,057.75
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulpon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Arthur Gea	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	71c	$12,641	-100%	-$12,640.5
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	Will Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	13c	$205	-100%	-$204.75
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Francisco Cerundolo	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	51c	$3,840	-100%	-$3,840.35
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zhengon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Iga Swiatek	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$3,670	-100%	-$3,670
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Mirra Andreeva	Won (open this pick on its own page)	54c	$3,240	+85.2%	+$2,759.99
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	Phan Thiet 3: Aditya Balsekar vs Hunter Heckon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Hunter Heck	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	75c	$2,252	-100%	-$2,251.57
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertenson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Naomi Osaka	Won (open this pick on its own page)	66c	$660	+51.5%	+$340
Sep 3, 2026, EDT	W15 Yeongwol: Jiyun Oh vs Soo Ha Jangon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Jiyun Oh	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$505	-100%	-$504.85
Sep 2, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaroon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Francesco Passaro	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	44c	$6,600	-100%	-$6,599.99
Sep 2, 2026, EDT	Will Rafael Jodar advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	1c	$10	-100%	-$10
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.

Movieslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT

$43,940

—no start of play

2 dto the end

-0.14no edge

20.9%14 W · 53 L

-8.8

-0.13

34c

-52.5%

Settled	Market	Position	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	80c	$400	-100%	-$400
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	76c	$453	+32.4%	+$146.82
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	77c	$1,530	+30.7%	+$469.49
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	74c	$543	-100%	-$542.6
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	18c	$134	+460%	+$616.62
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	43c	$43	-100%	-$43.05
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$49	-100%	-$48.8
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Won (open this pick on its own page)	61c	$813	+64.3%	+$523.35
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	39c	$2,115	-100%	-$2,115.12
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	33c	$9,958	-100%	-$9,958.06
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	21c	$42	-100%	-$42
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	6c	$19	-100%	-$18.75
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	72c	$374	-100%	-$374.4
Aug 17, 2026, EDT	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$54	-100%	-$54.4
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	27c	$1,772	+267.2%	+$4,736.2
Aug 3, 2026, EDT	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	57c	$998	-100%	-$997.69
Jul 20, 2026, EDT	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	69c	$2,950	-100%	-$2,949.56
Jul 20, 2026, EDT	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	17c	$181	-100%	-$180.65
Jul 20, 2026, EDT	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	42c	$212	-100%	-$211.79
Jul 20, 2026, EDT	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	28c	$272	-100%	-$271.56
Jul 6, 2026, EDT	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	62c	$620	-100%	-$620
Jul 6, 2026, EDT	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	59c	$590	-100%	-$589.99
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$21	-100%	-$21.25
Jul 1, 2026, EDT	No one announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	No	Lost (open this pick on its own page)	4c	$593	-100%	-$593.29
Jun 8, 2026, EDT	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)	Yes	Won (open this pick on its own page)	48c	$720	+108.2%	+$779.69
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.

What this wallet holds right now

Last asked 2 hours ago.

Positions on running markets: 267
What they are worth now: $39,882bought for $37,744
Settled, not yet cashed: 0worth $0

Its 10 largest running positions

Of 267, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Now: What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Now	Worth
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? (opens in a new tab)backed No	4,860	53c	84c	$4,095
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? (opens in a new tab)backed No	2,816	63c	99c	$2,795
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	2,500	88c	88c	$2,200
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	2,500	83c	80c	$1,996
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)backed No	2,500	72c	73c	$1,825
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	2,500	72c	73c	$1,813
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	1,750	51c	99c	$1,725
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)backed No	1,250	86c	88c	$1,094
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	2,452	86c	44c	$1,087
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? (opens in a new tab)backed No	999.99	74c	95c	$949

These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
The position was at least $10.
The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.

Wallet 0x9a3f…914a

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category54 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 10 largest running positions

Wallet 0x9a3f…914a

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category54 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 10 largest running positions