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Wallet 0x8975…ffe6

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$62,364 staked over 1,553 qualified picks in 46 categories, 17 of 46 below 50.

60

Best category

Boxing

$373 staked over 13 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Boxing board
59

Second best

Ukraine

$3,224 staked over 79 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full Ukraine board
59

Third best

Middle East

$6,730 staked over 170 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full Middle East board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Boxing picks that settled in the last 90 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Boxing picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category46 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Boxing Inactivelast settled Feb 16, 2026, EST$373—no start of play1 h 18resells, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled+0.2486% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.6+0.2765c+44.9%60
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$21+35.1%+$7.55
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$25+88.7%+$22.45
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$78-100%-$77.99
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$107+36.8%+$39.36
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$13+33.3%+$4.39
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$15+96.1%+$14.23
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$13+100%+$12.7
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$28+64.6%+$18.14
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$14+56.3%+$8.05
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill the fight end in Round 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$13+28.9%+$3.86
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill the fight end in Round 1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$10+28.2%+$2.96
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$24+50.7%+$12.01
Dec 20, 2025, ESTWill Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$10+65%+$6.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT$3,224—no start of play8 h 41resells, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 141 of them sold before the market settled+0.11103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7978.5%62 W · 17 L+8.3+0.1168c+15%59
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 1, 2026, EDTEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$22+81.8%+$17.61
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$47+34.2%+$16.17
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Trump and Putin not meet?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$23+74.1%+$16.97
Jul 1, 2026, EDTUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$16+25%+$4
Jul 1, 2026, EDTKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$30+35.7%+$10.75
Jul 1, 2026, EDTUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$76+32.8%+$24.83
Jul 1, 2026, EDTU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$20+49.3%+$10.09
Jul 1, 2026, EDTU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$31+48.6%+$15.29
May 1, 2026, EDTWill Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$36+31.6%+$11.27
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Belgium join the Board of Peace?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$38+100%+$38
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Spain join the Board of Peace?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$11+31.6%+$3.33
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill India join the Board of Peace?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$107+48%+$51.41
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill the U.K. join the Board of Peace?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$38+35.1%+$13.35
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Russia enter Kindrashivka by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$21+47.1%+$10
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$21-100%-$21.5
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$17+79%+$13.51
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Russia enter Borova by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$27+78%+$20.89
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$38-100%-$38
Mar 17, 2026, EDTRussia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$110-100%-$110.25
Mar 4, 2026, ESTWill Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$44+44.9%+$19.86
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$37-100%-$36.7
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$17+37%+$6.12
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$88+54.3%+$47.66
Mar 1, 2026, ESTUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$56+46.5%+$26.09
Feb 27, 2026, ESTWill Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$30-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast settled Jul 2, 2026, EDT$6,730—no start of play6 h 10resells, median over 310 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 289 of them sold before the market settled+0.09104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 66 of 170 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)17075.3%128 W · 42 L+15.3+0.0966c+12.4%59
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 2, 2026, EDTIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$76+48.7%+$37.23
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$49+67.6%+$33.4
Jul 1, 2026, EDTMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$30+37%+$11.2
Jul 1, 2026, EDTMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$17+31.6%+$5.4
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$123+33.1%+$40.54
Jul 1, 2026, EDTIran coup attempt by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$20+78.6%+$15.71
Apr 4, 2026, EDTWill Iran strike Turkey in March?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$41+49.3%+$20.32
Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$17-100%-$17
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$28-100%-$28.1
Apr 1, 2026, EDTNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$39+69.8%+$27.34
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$55+26.5%+$14.53
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$27+31%+$8.42
Apr 1, 2026, EDTIsrael x Syria security agreement by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$29-100%-$28.86
Apr 1, 2026, EDTU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$91+26.7%+$24.35
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$13+38.7%+$5.09
Apr 1, 2026, EDTU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$59+70.2%+$41.75
Apr 1, 2026, EDTMasoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$21+61.3%+$13.17
Mar 31, 2026, EDTIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$39+31.6%+$12.26
Mar 14, 2026, EDTWill Iran strike Jordan in March?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$79+36%+$28.62
Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS strikes Iraq by March 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$39+33.2%+$12.85
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$16+58.7%+$9.68
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$12+41.6%+$4.93
Mar 7, 2026, ESTWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$78+26.1%+$20.26
Mar 7, 2026, ESTWill Iran strike Israel on March 3?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$40+49%+$19.52
Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$33+61.3%+$20.2
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST$457—too few: 6 picks6 h 50resells, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 91 of them sold before the market settled+0.2091% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)12100%12 W · 0 L+2.7+0.2278c+28.5%58
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$26+33.3%+$8.67
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$37+28.2%+$10.31
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$26+25%+$6.45
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$66+29.6%+$19.46
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWinter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NorwayWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$37+26.6%+$9.75
Feb 22, 2026, ESTWill Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$42+26.6%+$11.19
Feb 21, 2026, ESTWill Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$25+25%+$6.14
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill Mathilde Gremaud (SUI) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$35+28.2%+$9.9
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$35+35.1%+$12.25
Feb 11, 2026, ESTWill Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$37+31.6%+$11.55
Feb 9, 2026, ESTWill Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$56+26.8%+$15.11
Feb 7, 2026, ESTWill Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 3000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$37+26.6%+$9.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuelalast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT$2,326—no start of play7 h 38resells, median over 122 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 104 of them sold before the market settled+0.08103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7072.9%51 W · 19 L+5.7+0.0865c+11%57
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 1, 2026, EDTMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$30+63.9%+$19.18
Apr 3, 2026, EDTAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$39+78.1%+$30.47
Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS strike on Mexico by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$46+54%+$24.67
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$63+42.6%+$26.75
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$36+39%+$14.2
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$15+75.4%+$11.21
Feb 25, 2026, ESTWill the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$76+58.6%+$44.64
Feb 3, 2026, ESTAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$39+57.6%+$22.45
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$25+58.7%+$14.6
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$39-100%-$38.98
Feb 1, 2026, ESTU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$11-100%-$10.76
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$51-100%-$50.88
Jan 23, 2026, ESTTrump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$68-100%-$68
Jan 23, 2026, ESTTrump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$10+88.7%+$9.31
Jan 20, 2026, ESTU.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$101+64.6%+$65.15
Jan 20, 2026, ESTU.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$48+67.8%+$32.26
Jan 19, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "Switzerland" this week? (January 18)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$105+29.6%+$30.95
Jan 19, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$49+37.5%+$18.5
Jan 18, 2026, ESTTrump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$37+36.9%+$13.5
Jan 17, 2026, ESTWill Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$92+30.7%+$28.23
Jan 17, 2026, ESTMachado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$21+75.4%+$16.22
Jan 15, 2026, ESTU.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$21-100%-$21.5
Jan 13, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$20-100%-$20
Jan 13, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$20+72.4%+$14.48
Jan 13, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$20+26.6%+$5.32
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast settled Jan 20, 2026, EST$229—no start of play6 dresells, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled+0.27100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7100%7 W · 0 L+1.9+0.2773c+37.5%57
Stocks Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT$2,337—no start of play18 h 56resells, median over 179 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 172 of them sold before the market settled+0.0799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7577.3%58 W · 17 L+5.6+0.0870c+10.4%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$121+29%+$35.26
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$31-100%-$31.02
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$20+31.6%+$6.31
Mar 31, 2026, EDTWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$14+28.2%+$3.96
Mar 31, 2026, EDTWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$43+38.9%+$16.61
Mar 31, 2026, EDTWill KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 6500 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$39+61.3%+$24.1
Mar 31, 2026, EDTWill KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$16+38.9%+$6.16
Mar 31, 2026, EDTWill KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$41+49.3%+$20.04
Mar 13, 2026, EDTWill Palantir (PLTR) close at <$144 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$14+37.2%+$5.22
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$93+55.7%+$51.59
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$66+28.2%+$18.57
Feb 27, 2026, ESTWill Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$26+28.2%+$7.33
Feb 27, 2026, ESTWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $7.00 end of February?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$26+25%+$6.5
Feb 6, 2026, ESTWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $275?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$26-100%-$26
Feb 6, 2026, ESTWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $175?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$26+33.3%+$8.67
Feb 6, 2026, ESTWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $365?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$26+26.1%+$6.79
Feb 4, 2026, ESTWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$69-100%-$69.14
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Meta dip to $590 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$34+56.2%+$18.99
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Amazon dip to $224 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$21-100%-$21.01
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Amazon dip to $216 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$38+37%+$14.05
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Opendoor reach $8.25 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$15-100%-$15.27
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill NVIDIA dip to $176 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$56-100%-$55.56
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Tesla reach $495 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$23-100%-$22.64
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Tesla reach $510 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$17+47.1%+$8.23
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Tesla dip to $405 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$101+64%+$64.59
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 8, 2026, EDT$1,256—no start of play3 dresells, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 88 of them sold before the market settled+0.0791% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3775.7%28 W · 9 L+2.9+0.0868c+10.5%55
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 8, 2026, EDTWill Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$34+61.3%+$21.14
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$34-100%-$34.5
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$20+43.1%+$8.67
Aug 26, 2026, EDTWill Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$17+75.4%+$13.1
Aug 18, 2026, EDTWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$12+38%+$4.48
Aug 17, 2026, EDTWill Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$19+35.1%+$6.85
Aug 13, 2026, EDTWill Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$56+46.3%+$26.13
Aug 5, 2026, EDTWill Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$27+28.2%+$7.7
Jun 28, 2026, EDTWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$62+35%+$21.55
Jun 24, 2026, EDTWill Alexa Avilés be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$13+27%+$3.61
Jun 19, 2026, EDTWill Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$13-100%-$12.75
Jun 19, 2026, EDTWill Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$33+25.2%+$8.39
Jun 17, 2026, EDTWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$29+29.9%+$8.66
Jun 17, 2026, EDTWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$38+88.7%+$33.69
Jun 17, 2026, EDTWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$29+25%+$7.25
Jun 17, 2026, EDTWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$177+33.4%+$59.09
Jun 10, 2026, EDTWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$25+100%+$24.58
Jun 10, 2026, EDTWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$27+26.1%+$6.99
Jun 10, 2026, EDTWill Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$38-100%-$38
May 20, 2026, EDTWill Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$49-100%-$48.53
May 19, 2026, EDTWill Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$11-100%-$11.4
May 5, 2026, EDTWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$19+49.6%+$9.35
Apr 1, 2026, EDT2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 70% by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$26+28.2%+$7.33
Mar 18, 2026, EDTWill James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$63+47.5%+$29.74
Mar 18, 2026, EDTWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$41+56.2%+$23
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Dec 27, 2025, EST$71—too few: 5 picks44 minresells, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled+0.28129% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 129% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3+0.2162c+32.1%55
Music Inactivelast settled Mar 8, 2026, EDT$2,117—no start of play16 h 48resells, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 136 of them sold before the market settled+0.09165% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 165% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5076%38 W · 12 L+2.8+0.0670c+7.7%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$54-100%-$54.33
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$43+28.2%+$12.05
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$45+44.9%+$20.08
Mar 6, 2026, ESTWill Harry Styles release an album in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$27+26.5%+$7.03
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Sayf win Sanremo 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$87+29.3%+$25.51
Feb 28, 2026, ESTWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$26+33.3%+$8.67
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$72+60.6%+$43.75
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be at least 400k?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$14+28.5%+$3.9
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$37+48.2%+$18
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$36-100%-$36
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Kendrick Lamar win 3 Grammys?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$26+66.7%+$17.33
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Lady Gaga win 1 Grammy?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$26+25%+$6.5
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$82+50%+$41.18
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$26+35.1%+$9.13
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$35-100%-$35.37
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$26+34.9%+$9.07
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$59-100%-$59.31
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$29-100%-$28.79
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill "MAYHEM - Lady Gaga" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$43+41%+$17.66
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$73+32%+$23.33
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$42+49.1%+$20.74
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$12+28.2%+$3.27
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$29+43.7%+$12.51
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill "ICE" be said at the Grammys?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$26+29%+$7.43
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$11-100%-$10.6
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast settled Feb 20, 2026, EST$419—too few: 1 pick14 h 08resells, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled+0.1086% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2+0.1268c+18.1%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 20, 2026, ESTWill FURIA win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$26+25%+$6.51
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$18+49.1%+$8.98
Jan 25, 2026, ESTWill PARIVISION win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$113-100%-$113.11
Jan 25, 2026, ESTWill Team Falcons win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$36+60.3%+$21.98
Jan 24, 2026, ESTWill FURIA win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$89+51.9%+$46.4
Jan 23, 2026, ESTWill Valve launch Premier Season 4 by January 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$20+75.4%+$14.77
Jan 15, 2026, ESTMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team FalconsWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$21+33.3%+$7.16
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Player of the Year award?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$12+42%+$4.99
Jan 10, 2026, ESTVitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$63+43.7%+$27.36
Dec 14, 2025, ESTWill Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$20-100%-$20.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT$125—no start of play8 h 04resells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled+0.32102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9+0.3169c+46.3%54
AIlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$6,399—no start of play22 h 20resells, median over 311 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 290 of them sold before the market settled+0.03103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)14571.7%104 W · 41 L+4.6+0.0369c+3.9%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$66+46%+$30.28
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$10-100%-$10.07
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$14-100%-$14.2
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$71+31.9%+$22.78
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$52-100%-$52.13
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$26+35.1%+$9.13
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$22+29.9%+$6.5
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$68+57.5%+$39.04
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$14+25%+$3.52
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$34+63.9%+$22.05
Jun 30, 2026, EDTWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$40+51.5%+$20.75
Jun 30, 2026, EDTWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$52-100%-$51.53
Jun 13, 2026, EDTElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$26+37%+$9.61
Jun 12, 2026, EDTWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$97+49.5%+$47.94
Jun 12, 2026, EDTWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$36+42%+$15.1
May 1, 2026, EDTWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$22-100%-$22.26
Apr 20, 2026, EDTWill Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$47+29.3%+$13.66
Apr 10, 2026, EDTWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$26+96.1%+$24.98
Apr 2, 2026, EDTWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$15-100%-$14.58
Apr 1, 2026, EDTGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$60+52.4%+$31.37
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$22+35.6%+$7.71
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$71+67.4%+$47.52
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$49+32.4%+$15.87
Apr 1, 2026, EDTVEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$21+96.1%+$20.58
Mar 31, 2026, EDTWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$21+28%+$6.03
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast settled Dec 27, 2025, EST$22—too few: 2 picks17 minresells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled+0.3597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7+0.3565c+57.2%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Dec 27, 2025, ESTWill Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$11+75.4%+$8.29
Dec 27, 2025, ESTWill Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$11+38.9%+$4.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast settled Dec 27, 2025, EST$23—too few: 2 picks23 minresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.52169% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 169% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6+0.3169c+44.1%53
Weather Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2026, EDT$2,373—no start of play3 h 23resells, median over 151 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 143 of them sold before the market settled+0.03110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6075%45 W · 15 L+1.9+0.0372c+3.5%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jun 5, 2026, EDTWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$35+43.3%+$15.04
May 18, 2026, EDTCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$25+47.1%+$11.78
Mar 13, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$27+42.9%+$11.52
Mar 13, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$32-100%-$31.77
Mar 13, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$36+35.1%+$12.75
Mar 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$13-100%-$12.58
Mar 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$18+42.9%+$7.68
Mar 12, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$30+29.9%+$8.92
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$16+42.9%+$6.86
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on March 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$11+35.1%+$3.82
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$82+49.5%+$40.67
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$82+28.1%+$23.16
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$12+37%+$4.33
Mar 10, 2026, EDTWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$30+26.4%+$7.84
Mar 10, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 9?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$15-100%-$14.84
Mar 9, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$38-100%-$37.52
Mar 9, 2026, EDTWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 8?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$39+28.2%+$10.98
Mar 6, 2026, ESTWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$40-100%-$39.82
Mar 5, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$40+61.3%+$24.38
Mar 5, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "Messi" 3+ times during Inter Miami events on Thursday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$19+49.3%+$9.5
Mar 5, 2026, ESTWill Trump say "Pelé" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$39-100%-$39.46
Mar 5, 2026, ESTWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$42+38.9%+$16.23
Mar 4, 2026, ESTWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$42-100%-$41.69
Mar 4, 2026, ESTWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$41+28.2%+$11.6
Mar 4, 2026, ESTWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$81-100%-$81.05
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT$155—no start of play18 h 20resells, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled+0.11100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7+0.1172c+13.2%52
La Liga Inactivelast settled Mar 6, 2026, EST$48—too few: 1 pick1 h 47resells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled+0.40153% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 153% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5+0.2674c+35.7%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 6, 2026, ESTRC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$13+28.2%+$3.79
Feb 18, 2026, ESTWill Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$34+43.2%+$14.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT$4,006—no start of play1 dresells, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 108 of them sold before the market settled+0.04152% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 152% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)6971%49 W · 20 L+1.8+0.0368c+5.2%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$30-100%-$30
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$76-100%-$75.99
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$51+32.6%+$16.7
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$26+38.7%+$10.06
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$18+33.3%+$6.01
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$66+35%+$23.09
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$11+67.8%+$7.41
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$52+47.7%+$25.02
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$30+25%+$7.5
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$15+35.8%+$5.26
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$14+28.9%+$3.99
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$30+58.7%+$17.62
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$110+29%+$31.87
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$26-100%-$26
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$116-100%-$115.98
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$26-100%-$26
Jun 25, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$20+92.3%+$18.46
Jun 11, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$49+44.2%+$21.45
Jun 11, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$34-100%-$34.5
Apr 4, 2026, EDTWill Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$36+29%+$10.49
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$42-100%-$41.61
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$41+72.4%+$29.33
Mar 21, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$37+25.5%+$9.44
Mar 19, 2026, EDTWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$37+35.1%+$13.08
Mar 18, 2026, EDTWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$43+43.2%+$18.7
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Apr 3, 2026, EDT$919—no start of play20 h 27resells, median over 82 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 76 of them sold before the market settled+0.0380% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9+0.0470c+6.9%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 3, 2026, EDTWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$13+48.1%+$6.11
Mar 6, 2026, ESTWill Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$68-100%-$67.61
Feb 20, 2026, ESTWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$15-100%-$15.05
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$36+38.9%+$14
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$33+45.3%+$14.96
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$129+27.8%+$35.96
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$34+25.2%+$8.43
Feb 13, 2026, ESTWill annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$33-100%-$32.99
Feb 11, 2026, ESTWill the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$11+53.8%+$6.07
Feb 11, 2026, ESTWill the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$63-100%-$62.7
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$48+40.6%+$19.54
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.3%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$30+61.3%+$18.38
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$59+36.9%+$21.75
Jan 28, 2026, ESTNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$39+40.7%+$15.79
Jan 21, 2026, ESTWill the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$52-100%-$52.48
Jan 21, 2026, ESTWill the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.3% in December?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$21+37%+$7.95
Jan 21, 2026, ESTWill the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.2% in December?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$31+33.3%+$10.33
Jan 13, 2026, ESTWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$16+62.9%+$10.06
Jan 13, 2026, ESTWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$24+43.7%+$10.49
Jan 13, 2026, ESTWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$26+27.4%+$7.15
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$35+57.8%+$20.14
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$57-100%-$57.39
Jan 9, 2026, ESTWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$46+78.6%+$35.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT$5,200—no start of play18 h 21resells, median over 289 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 276 of them sold before the market settled+0.0296% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)11669.8%81 W · 35 L+2.4+0.0268c+2.5%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$22+25%+$5.43
Sep 21, 2026, EDTWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$18-100%-$17.79
Sep 17, 2026, EDTWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$61+40.5%+$24.88
Jul 8, 2026, EDTWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$20-100%-$20.22
Jul 3, 2026, EDTWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$27+62.6%+$17.2
Jul 2, 2026, EDTWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$26+33.7%+$8.76
Jul 1, 2026, EDTAnother Canada election called by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$38+75.4%+$28.66
Jul 1, 2026, EDTLecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$55+67.6%+$37.53
Jul 1, 2026, EDTFrench election called by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$64+28.4%+$18.16
Jun 28, 2026, EDTLabour leadership election scheduled by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$17+78.6%+$13.08
Jun 24, 2026, EDTWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$12+72.4%+$8.45
Jun 24, 2026, EDTWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$16-100%-$15.9
Jun 14, 2026, EDTWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$130+42.4%+$55.08
Jun 14, 2026, EDTWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$12+32.6%+$3.78
Jun 12, 2026, EDTWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$24-100%-$23.9
Jun 7, 2026, EDTWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$42-100%-$41.95
Jun 4, 2026, EDTWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$15-100%-$15.33
Jun 4, 2026, EDTWill Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$52+48.8%+$25.63
Jun 4, 2026, EDTWill Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$92+57.3%+$52.82
Jun 4, 2026, EDTWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$39-100%-$38.78
Jun 4, 2026, EDTWill Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$26+64.9%+$16.9
Jun 4, 2026, EDTWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$48-100%-$48
May 29, 2026, EDTCanada recession before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$47-100%-$46.8
May 9, 2026, EDTWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$12+37%+$4.32
May 8, 2026, EDTWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$33+56.3%+$18.56
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 28, 2026, EDT$19—no start of play1 h 25resells, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled+0.07out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 16% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4060c+67.8%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 28, 2026, EDTWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$19+67.8%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast settled Jan 18, 2026, EST$42—no start of play13 h 26to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.37100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.3763c+57.5%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 18, 2026, ESTWill Togi win at Hustler Casino on Friday?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$42+57.5%+$24.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT$395—too few: 1 pick2 dresells, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled+0.0698% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4+0.0665c+9%52
Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Mar 8, 2026, EDT$38—too few: 1 pick36 minresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled+0.29100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3+0.2971c+40.8%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 8, 2026, EDT1. FC Union Berlin leading at halftime?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$38+40.8%+$15.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast settled Mar 11, 2026, EDT$74—no start of play60 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.2186% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2+0.2575c+33.2%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$74+33.2%+$24.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast settled Jan 8, 2026, EST$71—too few: 4 picks3 h 43resells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)475%3 W · 1 L+0.2+0.0669c+4%51
NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT$1,123—no start of play13 h 36resells, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 66 of them sold before the market settled+0.02143% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 143% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.4+0.0166c+0.4%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 9, 2026, EDTWill Travis Kelce retire before next season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$10+35.5%+$3.65
Sep 9, 2026, EDTWill Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$11-100%-$11.45
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$80-100%-$80.27
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$123+31.4%+$38.75
Sep 1, 2026, EDTWill Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$41+64.2%+$26.41
Jul 13, 2026, EDTWill Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$20+42.9%+$8.45
Mar 16, 2026, EDTTua Tagovailoa traded by next season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$37+42.9%+$15.7
Feb 9, 2026, ESTBig Game: 'NE Dynasty' Parlayon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$38+25%+$9.57
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill Jim Schwartz be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$82+28.5%+$23.22
Jan 24, 2026, ESTWill Chris Shula be the next Pittsburgh Steelers Head Coach?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$38-100%-$38
Jan 19, 2026, ESTWill the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$12+66.7%+$8.22
Jan 18, 2026, ESTWill the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Divisional Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$18-100%-$18.48
Jan 18, 2026, ESTWill the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$15+40.4%+$6.06
Jan 17, 2026, ESTWill the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$58+68.5%+$39.72
Jan 17, 2026, ESTWill John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$21+58.7%+$12.62
Jan 13, 2026, ESTWill the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$36+65.6%+$23.91
Jan 12, 2026, ESTWill the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$15-100%-$14.76
Jan 11, 2026, ESTWill the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$20+75.4%+$15.08
Jan 11, 2026, ESTWill the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$16-100%-$15.68
Jan 11, 2026, ESTWill the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$54-100%-$54.14
Jan 10, 2026, ESTWill the Carolina Panthers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$16+40.8%+$6.72
Jan 6, 2026, ESTWill John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$17-100%-$17.06
Jan 5, 2026, ESTWill Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$19+30.6%+$5.94
Jan 5, 2026, ESTWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$39+38%+$14.85
Jan 5, 2026, ESTWill TreVeyon Henderson record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$48+54.2%+$26.24
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast settled Feb 5, 2026, EST$745—no start of play11 h 22resells, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled+0.09865% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 865% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2070%14 W · 6 L+0.2+0.0169c+3%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Google say "Wiz" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$73+55.5%+$40.45
Feb 4, 2026, ESTWill Google say "Privacy" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$26+33.3%+$8.67
Feb 4, 2026, ESTWill Google say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$26+33.3%+$8.67
Feb 4, 2026, ESTWill Google say "European Commission" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$26+25%+$6.5
Feb 4, 2026, ESTWill Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$26-100%-$26
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill Tesla say "China" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$23+42.9%+$10.04
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$100+45.9%+$45.76
Jan 26, 2026, ESTWill Ryanair say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$69+63.5%+$43.8
Jan 26, 2026, ESTWill Ryanair say "Holiday" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$38+61.3%+$23.29
Jan 26, 2026, ESTWill Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$26+43.6%+$11.33
Jan 26, 2026, ESTWill Ryanair say "ATC" or "Air Traffic Control" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$76+56.4%+$42.86
Jan 24, 2026, ESTWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$21+63.8%+$13.69
Jan 21, 2026, ESTWill Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$33-100%-$33
Jan 20, 2026, ESTWill Netflix say "Jake Paul" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$23+43.9%+$10.21
Jan 15, 2026, ESTWill BlackRock say "Record AUM" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$14-100%-$13.95
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$70-100%-$70.08
Jan 7, 2026, ESTWill Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$20-100%-$20.5
Dec 19, 2025, ESTWill FedEx say "Truck" during earnings call?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$20+49.2%+$9.81
Dec 18, 2025, ESTWill KB Home (KBH) beat quarterly earnings?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$17-100%-$16.58
Dec 18, 2025, ESTWill CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$18+42.1%+$7.44
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT$85—too few: 1 pick2 h 18resells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1-0.0572c+1%49
Movies Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT$8,468—no start of play1 dresells, median over 511 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 465 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 62 of 206 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)20668.9%142 W · 64 L-1.3-0.0170c-1%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 1, 2026, EDTWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$38-100%-$37.78
Jul 1, 2026, EDTCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$119+73.5%+$87.31
Jul 1, 2026, EDTNo one announced as next James Bond?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$24-100%-$23.97
May 20, 2026, EDTWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$37+26.6%+$9.97
May 20, 2026, EDTWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$39+31.6%+$12.25
Apr 1, 2026, EDTAvatar 4 greenlit by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$71-100%-$71.09
Mar 17, 2026, EDTWill "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$29-100%-$29.03
Mar 17, 2026, EDTWill "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$16-100%-$16.39
Mar 17, 2026, EDTWill A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$77+35.1%+$27.13
Mar 17, 2026, EDTWill Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$38-100%-$38
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$37+47.1%+$17.18
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$34-100%-$34.09
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$33-100%-$33.41
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$19+28.2%+$5.38
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$115+29%+$33.33
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$29+78.6%+$22.85
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$39-100%-$39.13
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$38+26.6%+$10.1
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$66-100%-$65.59
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$36+44.4%+$15.84
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$113+25.6%+$28.91
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$38-100%-$38
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$36+49.3%+$17.87
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$34+58.7%+$20
Mar 16, 2026, EDTWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$41-100%-$40.75
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT$1,825—no start of play23 h 11resells, median over 130 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 130 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5164.7%33 W · 18 L-0.5-0.0166c-2.5%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$17-100%-$17.47
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$14-100%-$14.23
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$47+55%+$25.82
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$51-100%-$51.42
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$20+47.1%+$9.64
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$127-100%-$126.91
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$54-100%-$54.24
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$38+51.1%+$19.69
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$29+76.7%+$22.11
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$17+40.8%+$7.15
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$15-100%-$14.89
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$26+58.5%+$15.43
May 26, 2026, EDTSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$20+34.8%+$6.89
May 1, 2026, EDTMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$33+66.7%+$22
Apr 30, 2026, EDTGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$29+49.3%+$14.51
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$35-100%-$34.76
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill USD.AI launch a token by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$18-100%-$18.42
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Loopscale launch a token by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$17+28.2%+$4.85
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$36+39.2%+$14.17
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$114+25.5%+$28.94
Mar 23, 2026, EDTWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$19+57.9%+$11.24
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$86-100%-$86
Feb 24, 2026, ESTWill Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)65c$39-100%-$39
Feb 19, 2026, ESTWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$15+62%+$9.48
Jan 31, 2026, ESTInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$11-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast settled Mar 11, 2026, EDT$75—too few: 1 pick2 h 34resells, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2-0.0773c-8.1%49
NBA Inactivelast settled Mar 7, 2026, EST$742—too few: 2 picks4 h 32resells, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3-0.0369c-5.8%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 7, 2026, ESTWill Jayson Tatum play a game this season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$80+26.6%+$21.28
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$21+38.1%+$8.13
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$90+32.4%+$29.34
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$74+30.2%+$22.29
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$116+38.1%+$44.28
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Ja Morant be traded this season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$79-100%-$78.77
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$62+32.4%+$20.22
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$69-100%-$69.21
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$103+67.3%+$68.98
Feb 4, 2026, ESTWill Anthony Davis be traded this season?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$17-100%-$16.99
Dec 14, 2025, ESTSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$11-100%-$11.06
Dec 10, 2025, ESTSuns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$20+64.9%+$12.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT$55—no start of play4 h 02resells, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled-0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L-0.3-0.1565c-16.7%49
MLB Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT$224—no start of play9 h 02resells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4-0.0673c-5.6%49
UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT$229—no start of play4 dresells, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)560%3 W · 2 L-0.5-0.1070c-9.7%48
Space Inactivelast settled Jan 29, 2026, EST$39—no start of play1 dresells, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled-0.55no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.6-0.5959c-100%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jan 29, 2026, ESTWill SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$39-100%-$39.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast settled Mar 13, 2026, EDT$1,388—no start of play57 minresells, median over 84 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 78 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.9-0.0567c-6.5%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Mar 13, 2026, EDTWill Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$37+25.5%+$9.43
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 60+ tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$10-100%-$10.34
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$13-100%-$13.12
Mar 11, 2026, EDTWill Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$42-100%-$42.14
Mar 6, 2026, ESTWill Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$44+37%+$16.43
Mar 3, 2026, ESTWill Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$44+49.9%+$22.16
Feb 11, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$32-100%-$32.1
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$30+71.8%+$21.54
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$26+66.4%+$17.36
Jan 27, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$34+27.7%+$9.56
Jan 27, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$24-100%-$24.2
Jan 26, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$34+78.6%+$27.1
Jan 24, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$105-100%-$104.87
Jan 24, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$13+63.9%+$8.61
Jan 24, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$38+28.5%+$10.84
Jan 23, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$38+49.5%+$18.8
Jan 20, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$33+53.8%+$17.77
Jan 20, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$33+56.3%+$18.56
Jan 19, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$62-100%-$62
Jan 19, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$11-100%-$11
Jan 18, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$64-100%-$63.53
Jan 17, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$86-100%-$85.65
Jan 16, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$50+66.9%+$33.76
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$43-100%-$42.99
Jan 14, 2026, ESTWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$21+59.7%+$12.84
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT$769before 0%in play 100%, over 10 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 68 h 01 after the start2 h 59resells, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1662.5%10 W · 6 L-2.0-0.1375c-17.4%45
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Apr 12, 2026, EDTWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$47+34.1%+$15.97
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$42-100%-$41.64
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Daniel Berger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$39+25%+$9.71
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$18+26.4%+$4.63
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$39-100%-$38.66
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Ricky Castillo win the 2026 Puerto Rico Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$60-100%-$60.12
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$54+29.1%+$15.62
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$34+26.7%+$9.18
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$14+25.7%+$3.62
Feb 8, 2026, ESTWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$73+29.8%+$21.84
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$46-100%-$46.04
Jan 25, 2026, ESTWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$209-100%-$209.27
Jan 25, 2026, ESTWill Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The American Express tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$22+38.8%+$8.5
Jan 19, 2026, ESTWill Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$31-100%-$31.16
Jan 19, 2026, ESTWill Davis Riley win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$31+51.3%+$15.9
Dec 18, 2025, ESTWill Lando Norris be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$11+34.3%+$3.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jun 17, 2026, EDT$684—no start of play18 h 07resells, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.2-0.1268c-16.4%44
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jun 17, 2026, EDTFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$42-100%-$41.69
Apr 29, 2026, EDTFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$51-100%-$51.35
Apr 29, 2026, EDTWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)79c$30+26.5%+$7.96
Apr 29, 2026, EDTWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$19-100%-$19
Mar 18, 2026, EDTWill Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$38+29.9%+$11.47
Mar 18, 2026, EDTWill one person dissent the March Fed decision?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$29-100%-$29.05
Mar 18, 2026, EDTWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$20+58.7%+$12.04
Mar 18, 2026, EDTFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$54+61%+$33.09
Mar 4, 2026, ESTWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$30-100%-$30
Feb 5, 2026, ESTFed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$26-100%-$26
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$68+46.9%+$31.89
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$74+42.4%+$31.38
Jan 30, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$43-100%-$42.89
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill two people dissent the January Fed decision?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$50-100%-$50.1
Jan 28, 2026, ESTWill one person dissent the January Fed decision?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$26+52.5%+$13.7
Jan 21, 2026, ESTWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$55+67.8%+$37.3
Jan 17, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$15+58.7%+$8.81
Dec 10, 2025, ESTWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$13+61%+$7.79
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT$2,859—no start of play6 h 29resells, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 126 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7159.2%42 W · 29 L-5.9-0.0867c-11.3%43
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 1, 2026, EDTXRP all time high by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$21+42.1%+$8.86
Oct 1, 2026, EDTBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$18+42.1%+$7.72
Oct 1, 2026, EDTEthereum all time high by September 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$46+55.9%+$25.55
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$16-100%-$15.78
Sep 3, 2026, EDTWill Lighter reach $4 before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$15+78.6%+$11.78
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$11-100%-$11
Jul 1, 2026, EDTEthereum all time high by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$23+30.4%+$7.07
May 29, 2026, EDTWill Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$16-100%-$16
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill $MARU reach $1B in Q1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$48+73.2%+$34.92
Mar 8, 2026, EDTWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$32+79.9%+$25.59
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$53+70%+$37.46
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Plasma dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$21+79.5%+$16.32
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$91+74.7%+$67.99
Feb 5, 2026, ESTWill XRP dip to $1.20 in February?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$15-100%-$15.25
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill Hyperliquid reach $38 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$18+72.3%+$13.11
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill XRP dip to $1.50 January 26-1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$26+39.5%+$10.26
Feb 2, 2026, ESTWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)75c$17-100%-$16.66
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Solana reach $150 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$18+100%+$17.5
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Lighter reach $3.50 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$15+28.2%+$4.31
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill BNB reach $1000 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$53+43.1%+$22.85
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill XRP reach $2.60 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$20-100%-$19.5
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$15+38.6%+$5.93
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$13+35.1%+$4.74
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Solana dip to $100 January 26-1?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)77c$18-100%-$18.26
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Solana dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$62+30.7%+$18.91
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT$564—too few: 2 picks19 h 15resells, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled-0.29no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1-0.2972c-39.1%43
Us Politicslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT$2,433—no start of play1 dresells, median over 171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 157 of them sold before the market settled-0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)7358.9%43 W · 30 L-6.7-0.0968c-14.4%42
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$38+42.9%+$16.28
Jul 12, 2026, EDTWill the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$24+38.9%+$9.48
Jul 2, 2026, EDTIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$26-100%-$26.26
May 1, 2026, EDTWill Trump visit China by April 30?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$15-100%-$14.59
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$50+27.9%+$13.98
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$11-100%-$10.7
Mar 2, 2026, ESTWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$47-100%-$47.23
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$81-100%-$80.58
Mar 1, 2026, ESTWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$97+70.1%+$67.91
Feb 16, 2026, ESTPeter Attia out by February 15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$26+29.9%+$7.76
Feb 15, 2026, ESTWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)79c$34-100%-$34.16
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$43+63.3%+$27.48
Feb 3, 2026, ESTTrump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)63c$19-100%-$19.25
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$12+41.6%+$4.82
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$29+53.8%+$15.81
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$26+25%+$6.5
Feb 3, 2026, ESTWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$30-100%-$30
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$29+33.9%+$9.88
Feb 1, 2026, ESTIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$60+43.5%+$25.97
Feb 1, 2026, ESTWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$26+49.8%+$12.87
Feb 1, 2026, ESTEnhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$19+42.9%+$8.1
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$30+37%+$11.09
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$40-100%-$39.56
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$20-100%-$20.07
Jan 31, 2026, ESTWill Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$20-100%-$19.88
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jan 18, 2026, EST$64—too few: 1 pick1 h 24resells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled-0.47no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)30%0 W · 3 L-2.0-0.6666c-100%42
IPOlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT$544—no start of play23 h 06resells, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled-0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1346.2%6 W · 7 L-3.1-0.2470c-33%41
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$38-100%-$38
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$41-100%-$40.82
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)73c$46+37.3%+$17.27
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$23+34.2%+$7.92
Jul 1, 2026, EDTWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$10+77.5%+$8.09
Jun 12, 2026, EDTSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$12+35%+$4.34
May 24, 2026, EDTWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$28-100%-$28.25
May 16, 2026, EDTCerebras IPO before 2027?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$19+44.2%+$8.4
Apr 1, 2026, EDTWill Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$15-100%-$15.35
Apr 1, 2026, EDTKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$222+43.5%+$96.46
Feb 16, 2026, ESTWill SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)80c$37-100%-$36.57
Feb 11, 2026, ESTWill AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$15-100%-$14.7
Feb 6, 2026, ESTWill SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$37-100%-$36.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.