Check anotherPolymarket (opens in a new tab)
Wallet 0x37e4…c991
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x37e4728b3c4607fb2b3b205386bb1d1fb1a8c991
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$57,215,516 staked over 2,059 qualified picks in 46 categories, 23 of 46 below 50.
Best category
Other European Leagues
$780,982 staked over 37 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardSecond best
NFL
$3,439,346 staked over 100 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full NFL boardThird best
Olympics
$10,992 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Olympics boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Other European Leagues picks that settled in the last 30 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.
A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Other European Leagues picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.
Record by category46 Categories
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $780,982 | before 84%in play 16%, over 37 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min before the start | 6 h 25to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1496% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5 | +0.15 | 45c | +23.4% | 60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $3,439,346 | before 92%in play 8%, over 97 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 20 before the start | 7 h 11to the end, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0992% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 90 of 100 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +9.9 | +0.10 | 48c | +20.2% | 59 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $10,992 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.27100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2 | +0.27 | 23c | +92.1% | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $2,992,601 | before 70%in play 30%, over 96 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 4 h 52to the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0786% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 96 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.8 | +0.08 | 51c | +16.5% | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $1,104,171 | before 86%in play 14%, over 35 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 before the start | 7 h 47to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0786% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8 | +0.08 | 49c | +10.1% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Apr 29, 2026, EDT | $326,209 | —no start of play | 34 dto the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.3 | +0.09 | 39c | -9.3% | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Jan 5, 2026, EST | $160,610 | —too few: 2 picks | 18 h 29to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.4597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9 | +0.46 | 54c | +86.9% | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $196,316 | before 64%in play 36%, over 28 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min before the start | 9 h 16to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5 | +0.05 | 41c | +56.2% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Mar 1, 2026, EST | $65,410 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 12 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3 | +0.06 | 35c | -1.2% | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $2,658,202 | before 89%in play 11%, over 81 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min before the start | 5 h 44to the end, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0281% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 70 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.1 | +0.02 | 45c | +9% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $245,656 | before 87%in play 13%, over 16 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 06 before the start | 9 h 27to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07147% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 147% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7 | +0.05 | 45c | +3.1% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $16,112 | —no start of play | 8 h 56to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1698% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5 | +0.16 | 50c | +74.8% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Nov 16, 2024, EST | $28,795 | —no start of play | 28 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3795% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.39 | 61c | +63.9% | 52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jan 2, 2026, EST | $29,950 | —no start of play | 1 h 57resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3090% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.33 | 67c | +50.3% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Dec 7, 2025, EST | $60,720 | —too few: 2 picks | 11 h 06to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0497% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 38c | -1.2% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jul 22, 2026, EDT | $433,989 | before 100%in play 0%, over 12 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min before the start | 3 h 56to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 12 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4 | +0.03 | 47c | +0.4% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 23, 2026, EDT | $4,600,851 | before 78%in play 22%, over 211 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min before the start | 5 h 38to the end, median over 250 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0195% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 174 of 232 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 232 | 39.2%91 W · 141 L | +2.3 | +0.01 | 38c | +0.5% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $30,442 | —too few: 2 picks | 16 h 40to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.11 | 39c | +8.7% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled May 18, 2026, EDT | $55,691 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0285% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3 | +0.02 | 31c | +76.3% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $1,818,291 | before 68%in play 32%, over 38 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 5 h 49to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 35 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 44c | +8.3% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $217,106 | before 27%in play 73%, over 11 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 56 after the start | 2 h 45to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 34% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 44c | +4.9% | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $6,666,783 | before 86%in play 14%, over 245 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min before the start | 5 h 43to the end, median over 258 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 215 of 250 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.0 | 0.00 | 46c | +0.2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2026, EDT | $1,903,915 | before 89%in play 11%, over 64 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min before the start | 5 h 40to the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 61 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 47c | -3.2% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2025, EDT | $219 | —no start of play | 30 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Jan 3, 2026, EST | $11,036 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 53c | -36.5% | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $71,882 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 44c | -9.1% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $256 | —no start of play | 90 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.17 | 17c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Nov 5, 2025, EST | $3,643 | —no start of play | 58 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.17 | 17c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $4,276,090 | before 100%in play 0%, over 82 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min before the start | 5 h 12to the end, median over 84 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 80 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8 | -0.01 | 47c | -1.8% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Poker Inactivelast settled Jul 16, 2025, EDT | $5,384 | —no start of play | 7 h 34to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.15 | 15c | -100% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Apr 25, 2026, EDT | $2,466,507 | before 97%in play 3%, over 79 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 13 before the start | 10 h 50to the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 73 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3 | -0.02 | 48c | -5.5% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT | $71,018 | —no start of play | 14 h 16to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5 | -0.04 | 35c | -54.6% | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT | $510,943 | before 50%in play 50%, over 20 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 5 h 04to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6 | -0.03 | 48c | -17.9% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $1,992,566 | before 90%in play 10%, over 59 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min before the start | 4 h 31to the end, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 56 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.3 | -0.02 | 51c | -4.3% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT | $7,258,681 | before 95%in play 5%, over 246 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 01 before the start | 9 h 17to the end, median over 266 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 224 of 248 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | -4.6 | -0.02 | 51c | -6.4% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $11,546 | —no start of play | 29 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.27 | 27c | -100% | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $69,427 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9 | -0.06 | 46c | -28.4% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $1,771,983 | before 88%in play 12%, over 42 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min before the start | 5 h 35to the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6 | -0.04 | 44c | +22.6% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Jan 26, 2026, EST | $2,322 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8 | -0.16 | 36c | -72.7% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $3,573,154 | before 90%in play 10%, over 89 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min before the start | 5 h 46to the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 84 of 90 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -3.5 | -0.04 | 45c | -13.8% | 47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $1,009,068 | before 85%in play 15%, over 39 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min before the start | 5 h 32to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.0 | -0.05 | 49c | -12.2% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Apr 11, 2026, EDT | $164,421 | —too few: 4 picks | 5 h 42to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9 | -0.24 | 49c | -55.9% | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $3,616,042 | before 90%in play 10%, over 151 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min before the start | 5 h 51to the end, median over 182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 126 of 163 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2 | -0.07 | 39c | -13.1% | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 8, 2026, EDT | $315,002 | —too few: 8 picks | 5 h 56to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6 | -0.33 | 45c | -75.4% | 41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $1,249,434 | before 100%in play 0%, over 34 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min before the start | 5 h 44to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5 | -0.19 | 43c | -41.7% | 38 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $921,754 | before 42%in play 58%, over 40 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 3 h 50to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -7.3 | -0.18 | 46c | -39.1% | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 0
- What they are worth now
- $0bought for $0
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev (opens in a new tab)backed Flavio Cobolli · settled | 400,000 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 200,000 | 40c | $0 | Counted |
| Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce (opens in a new tab)backed Martin Landaluce · settled | 200,000 | 39c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 192,641 | 45c | $0 | Counted |
| Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 159,452 | 49c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.